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33 Tax Features 1 (1989)

handle is hein.tera/taxfeaturs0033 and id is 1 raw text is: TAX FOUNDATION'S                            VOL. 33, NO. 1 JANUARY/FEBRUARY 1989

Election Year Politics and Fallout
From TRA'86 Dominate 1988 Federal Tax Scene

Fiscal Condition of Most State
And Local Governments Improves
Many states improved financially in 1988, pri-
marily due to a strong national economy and
various tax increases enacted in 1987. However, a
few large states suffered severe deficits. Califor-
nia, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New York
contended with revenue shortfalls ranging from
$250 million to over $1 billion during 1988.
State and local governments collected $421.8
billion in taxes during the 12 months ending
March 1988, an increase of 8 percent, or $31.2 bil-
lion, over the previous year. State tax collections
totaled $259.7 billion, up 8.3 percent, and local
government taxes netted $162.1 billion, showing
a 7.5 percent rise. Thirty-four states raised taxes,
mostly on sales taxes covering motor fuel, to-
bacco, alcoholic beverages, and general sales.
High Court Decisions
State and local governments suffered a setback
in their borrowing efforts under South Carolina v.
Treasury Secretary. The court ruled that the provi-
sion in the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility
Act of 1982 which denies Federal income tax
exemption for interest earned on long-term pub-
licly offered state and local bonds not issued in
registered form violates neither the Tenth
Amendment and principles of Federalism nor the
doctrine of intergovernmental tax immunity. The
bond registration requirement was intended to
prevent Federal tax evasion and money launder-
ing schemes. It has proved successful since no
state or local government has since issued any
bonds in other than registered form.
In a controversial case with potentially wide-
ranging consequences, D.H. Holmes Co. v. Louisi-
ana Secretary of Revenue and Taxation, the court
unanimously ruled that Louisiana's use tax on
merchandise catalogs ordered from out-of-state
by a Louisiana retailer and shipped to prospec-
tive customers within the state does not violate
the Commerce Clause of the Constitution.

Despite $909.0 billion in revenues in FY'88, a
6.4 percent increase over 1987 collections, the
Federal government left itself with a budget
deficit of $155.1 billion, exceeding the 1987 defi-
cit by $5.4 billion. Due to the stubborn budget
deficit that represents over 3.3 percent of total
Gross National Product (GNP), pressure contin-
ues to mount to raise taxes or cut government
spending in order to reduce the red ink in Fed-
eral government accounts. It may seem surpris-
ing that 1988 saw no major legislation to combat
the problem, but there are several reasons why
this issue has been side-stepped.
First, since 1988 was an election year, major
tax-raising legislation was politically untimely.
The budget summit between the Administra-
tion and Congress, convened in the wake of the
500-point drop in the stock market on October
19, 1987, conveniently worked out a two-year
deficit reduction plan to avoid election-year tax
manipulation. The budget summit culminated

THIS
ISSUE:
PAGE 1:
Tax Action
'88: Federal,
State & Local
PAGE 3:
Budget
Watch
PAGE 5:
Front
Burner
International
Tax Action '88
INSERT:
Avoiding
Budget
Limitations

in the Revenue Act of 1987 which called for $8 billion and $14 billion
in new tax revenues for FY'88 and FY'89, respectively.
Secondly, the public is still absorbing the impact of the Tax Reform
Act of 1986 (TRA'86) which radically changed the Tax Code for indi-
viduals and corporations. Since many of TRA'86's provisions are
staggered over five years, its full effects will not be felt until 1990 or
later. Another major tax act in 1988, attempting to address the budget
deficit, could not have gained enough political momentum, especially
if it involved increasing the income tax rates established in 1986.
Faltering NEC
Thirdly, no major deficit reduction legislation was witnessed in
1988 because of the appointment of the National Economic Commis-
sion (NEC) late in 1987 to address the deficit problem. The 14-mem-
ber, bipartisan panel, comprised of business, labor, and Congressional
leaders appointed by the President and Congress, is scheduled to
report its deficit reduction recommendations in March of 1989. But
many budget observers predict its report will be kept on ice pending
the course of direct deficit reduction discussion between the Bush
White House and the Congress. Substantive tax increase options are
unlikely in the wake of President George Bush's read-my-lips
pledge not to raise taxes and subsequent declaration that he would
(Continued on page 2)

I

TAX FOUNDATION'S

VOL. 33, NO. I JANUARY/FEBRUARY 1989

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