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1 Garrett Watson, et al., Details and Analysis of Democratic Presidential Nominee Biden's Tax Proposals, October 2020 Update 1 (2020)

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Details and Analysis of Democratic


Presidential Nominee Biden's Tax


Proposals, October 2020 Update


FISCAL

FACT
No. 730
Oct. 2020


Garrett Watson
Senior Policy Analyst


Huaqun   Li
Senior Economist


Taylor LaJoie
Policy Analyst


Key   Findings


    Democratic  presidential nominee Joe Biden would enact a number  of policies
     that would raise taxes on individuals with income above $400,000, including
     raising individual income, capital gains, and payroll taxes. Biden would also
     raise taxes on corporations by raising the corporate income tax rate and
     imposing a corporate minimum  book  tax.


    Biden's plan would raise tax revenue by $3.3 trillion over the next decade on
     a conventional basis. When accounting for macroeconomic  feedback  effects,
     the plan would collect about $2.8 trillion the next decade. This is lower
     than we originally estimated due to the revenue effects of the coronavirus
     pandemic  and economic  downturn  and new  tax credit proposals introduced
     by the Biden campaign.


    According to the Tax Foundation's General Equilibrium Model, the Biden tax
     plan would reduce GDP   by 1.62 percent over the long term.


    On  a conventional basis, the Biden tax plan by 2030 would lead to about 7.7
     percent less after-tax income for the top 1 percent of taxpayers and about a
     1.9 percent decline in after-tax income for all taxpayers on average.


Summary of Biden's Tax Proposal Estimates


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leading independent tax policy
research organization. Since 1937,
our research, analysis, and experts
have informed smarter tax policy
at the federal, state, and global
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Editor, Rachel Shuster
Designer, Dan Carvajal
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Plan Highlights


 Repeal the TCJA components for high-income filers;
 Impose 12.4% Social Security payroll tax for wages
  above $400k;
 Increase the corporate income tax to 28%;
 Establish a corporate minimum tax on book income;
 Double the tax rate on GILTI and impose it country-
  by-country;
 Temporarily increase the generosity of the Child Tax
  Credit and Dependent Credit


Conventional Revenue, 2021-2030
(Billions of Dollars)                                $3'334
Dynamic Revenue, 2021-2030
(Billions of Dollars)                                $2782
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)                         -1.62%
Capital Stock                                        -3.75%
Full-time Equivalent Jobs                           -542,000
Source: Tax Foundation General Equilibrium Model, January 2020.

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