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1 Preliminary Details and Analysis of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act 1 (2017)

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Preliminary Details and Analysis of

the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act


SPECIAL
REPORT
No. 241
Dec. 2017


The Tax Foundation is the nation's
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©2017 Tax Foundation
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Editor, Rachel Shuster
Designer, Dan Carvajal
Tax Foundation
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Tax Foundation Staff


Key Findings


*  The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act would reform both individual income and
    corporate income taxes and would move the United States to a territorial
    system of business taxation.

* According to the Tax Foundation's Taxes and Growth Model, the plan would
    significantly lower marginal tax rates and the cost of capital, which would
    lead to a 1.7 percent increase in GDP over the long term, 1.5 percent higher
    wages, and an additional 339,000 full-time equivalent jobs.

*  The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is a pro-growth tax plan, which, when fully
    implemented, would spur an additional $600 billion in federal revenues from
    economic growth. These new revenues would reduce the cost of the plan
    substantially. Depending on the baseline used to score the plan, current
    policy or current law, the new revenues could bring the plan closer to
    revenue neutral.

*   Over the next decade, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act would increase GDP by
    2.86 percent over the current baseline forecasts, or an average of 0.29
    percent per year. In 2018, GDP growth would be 0.44 percent over the
    baseline forecast.

*   On a static basis, the plan would lead to 0.3 percent lower after-tax income
    on average for all taxpayers and 0.6 percent lower after-tax income on
    average for the top 1 percent in 2027, due to the expiration of the majority
    of the individual income tax cuts, but retention of chained CPI. When
    accounting for the increased GDP, after-tax incomes of all taxpayers would
    increase by 1.1 percent in the long run.

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