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258 IRET Congressional Advisory 1 (2009)

handle is hein.taxfoundation/iretcgadv0255 and id is 1 raw text is: INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH ON THE ECONOMICS OF TAXATION
IRET is a non-profit 501 (c)(3) economic policy research and educational organization devoted to informing
the public about policies that will promote growth and efficient operation of the market economy.
September 4, 2009                                                                Advisory No. 258
HOW DOES THE SALES DECLINE AT THE POSTAL SERVICE
COMPARE TO THOSE AT LARGE PRIVATE-SECTOR BUSINESSES?
HOW DO THE RESPONSES COMPARE?
Executive Summary
So far in fiscal year 2009, the Postal Service's mail volume has plunged 12.6%, and it's revenue
is down 8.4%. It expects a yearly loss exceeding $7 billion. The recession is responsible for most
of the decline, with electronic diversion also hurting.
Although the Postal Service has rarely confronted falling revenue in the past, sales declines are
common at private-sector businesses, especially during nasty recessions. Among the large U.S.
companies on the Fortune 500 list, 32% suffered revenue drops in 2008 and 25% lost money, with
similarly bleak numbers expected for 2009. Taking the Fortune 500 as a benchmark, the Postal
Service's numbers are worse than average, but it is far from alone.
Sales declines are almost always traumatic, and some Fortune 500 companies fail, but most pull
through successfully. What can the Postal Service learn from the many Fortune 500 businesses
that overcome revenue decreases?
The primary response of private-sector companies, especially during recessions, is vigorous cost
management. Media reports and company announcements are filled these days with stories about
belt-tightening by companies, their workers, and their suppliers.
The Postal Service is trying to follow this strategy and has reduced its 2009 spending by more than
$6 billion, relative to earlier plans. However, political pressure and numerous restrictions written
into law impede the Service's ability to rightsize its workforce, bring wages and fringe benefits into
line with those in the private sector, and close or consolidate excess facilities. The Postal Service's
leaders have done a remarkable job given the constraints, but the government enterprise lacks the
cost-control tools it needs to be self-supporting while delivering affordable, reliable mail service.
Until now, a major, albeit de facto, pillar of the Postal Service's business model has been that
revenue growth would compensate for inefficiencies that serve political ends but do not advance
the agency's core mission. However, the growth-will-counterbalance-wasteful-spending pillar of
the business model is now broken. The Service can be financially solvent while fulfilling its core
mission, but only if Congress allows it to better manage its costs.

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