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46 IRET Congressional Advisory 1 (1995)

handle is hein.taxfoundation/iretcgadv0044 and id is 1 raw text is: IRETr
June 14, 1995 No. 46
IMPACT OF THE FLAT TAX ON TAX
EXEMPT BONDS
There has been some concern expressed by
traders of tax exempt securities, brokers, and
bondholders over the potential impact of major tax
restructuring proposals on the tax exempt bond
market. In particular, there is concern over the
effect of such proposal on the market value of
existing tax exempt bonds and on the interest cost
facing state and local governments in the future.
We conclude that these concerns are unfounded, and
that pro-saving tax reform would raise returns to all
savers and strengthen state and local government
finances.
Most of the major tax restructuring proposals
currently being circulated seek to correct the current
income tax bias against income used for saving and
investment. In the process, some of them would
eliminate the difference in tax treatment between
currently taxable and currently tax exempt securities.
The flat tax (such as the Anney-Shelby
proposal) would effectively extend current tax
exempt bond treatment to currently taxable bonds,
and to other types of saving instruments, in a
modified income tax context. Replacement of the
income tax with either a national sales tax (such as
proposed by Senator Lugar and Representative
Archer) or a VAT would also erase the tax
distinction between taxable and tax exempt bonds.

By contrast, the saving exempt income tax, as
drafted by Senators Domenici and Nunn, would
create a deduction for purchases of private sector
securities to improve their treatment versus income
used for consumption, but would preserve the tax
treatment differential between private sector debt
and state and local government debt by effectively
doubling up on the tax deduction for state and local
issues.1
Tax exempt bond dealers and financial writers
have linked relative price weakness in the tax
exempt bond market to prospects of enactment of
the flat tax, and suggest that the flat tax would hurt
the tax exempt bond market. For example, a recent
column in Forbes magazine claims that tax exempt
bonds would become less attractive.2
Has the prospect of the flat tax (or a national
sales tax) depressed prices in the tax exempt bond
market? Has this injured holders of existing tax
exempt bonds? Would a federal flat tax system
injure state, county, and local governments in the
future?
There may be other reasons for relative price
weakness in the tax exempt bond market.
Prospects for significant tax reform are better
now than in many years. However, other tax and
budget changes, and changing economic conditions,
may also be affecting the tax exempt bond market.
Taxes. The House passed tax bill provides
significant reduction in capital gains taxes and
the present value equivalent of first year write-
off (expensing) of outlays on plant, equipment,
and structures. These reforms may be watered
down, but steps in this direction would boost
returns on equities and divert saving from
bonds to equities. Enhanced depreciation would
also improve the ability of businesses to service
debt, reducing risk premiums on taxable
securities. It is difficult to calculate the net

Institute for
Research on the
Economics of
Taxation

IRET is a non-profit, tax exempt 501(c)(3) economic policy research and educational organization devoted to informing the
public about policies that will promote economic growth and efficient operation of the free market economy.
1730 K Street, N.W., Suite 910, Washington, D.C. 20006
Voice 202-463-1400 * Fax 202-463-6199 0 Internet www.iret.org

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