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1 Michael Schuyler, The Growth Effects of the Nunes Plan to Reform Business Taxation 1 (2015)

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TAXS
FOUNDATION

FISCAL
FACT
Feb. 2015
No. 454


The Growth Effects of the Nunes Plan


to   Reform Business Taxation



By  Michael Schuyler, PhD
     Senior Fellow

Executive   Summary

Representative Devin Nunes (R-CA) seeks to reform how the federal government
taxes business income. Major elements of his plan are:

    *  Cutting the corporate income tax to 25 percent;

    *  Limiting the top tax rate on non-corporate business income to 25
       percent;

    *  Allowing businesses to deduct investment costs when they occur (full
       expensing);

    *  Eliminating most business deductions and credits;

    *  Moving to a territorial tax system like most other developed nations;

    *  No longer letting nonfinancial businesses deduct interest costs but no
       longer taxing them on interest receipts; and

    *  Applying the same tax-rate limitation to individuals' interest income as
       to their dividend income.

Tax Foundation's economists used the Taxes and Growth Model (TAG) to evaluate
the economic and budget implications of the Nunes plan. We did not model the
proposal's transition provisions.

Key  Findings

    *  According to the Taxes and Growth Model, the Nunes tax reform plan
       would increase the size of the economy by 6.8 percent over the long
       run.

    *  The plan would increase the level of investment by 20 percent, lift
       wages by 5.7 percent, and create 1.2 million full-time equivalent jobs.

    *  On a dynamic basis, the plan would increase federal revenue by $96
       billion in the long run due to increased economic growth.

    *  The two main drivers of economic growth in the plan are the full
       expensing of capital investment and the lower tax rate on business
       income, both of which significantly reduce the tax code's bias against
       saving and investment.

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