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1 Kyle Pomerleau, Economic and Budgetary Impact of Temporary Expensing 1 (2017)

handle is hein.taxfoundation/ecbuimtx0001 and id is 1 raw text is: 









FISCAL
FACT
No. 561
Oct. 2017


The Tax Foundation is the nation's
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©2017 Tax Foundation
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Editor, Rachel Shuster
Designer, Dan Carvajal
Tax Foundation
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Economic and Budgetary Impact of

Temporary Expensing

Kyle Pomerleau
Economist, Director of Federal Projects


Key Findings

    Recently, a group of Republican lawmakers known as the Big Six released a
      tax reform framework that proposed a number of individual and business tax
      changes.

    In addition to reducing the corporate tax rate to 20 percent and pass-
      through maximum tax rate to 25 percent, the Framework proposes allowing
      businesses immediate full expensing of all assets (except for buildings and
      other structures) for at least five years.

    Limiting expensing to certain types of capital investments and making it
      temporary would greatly reduce the 10-year budget impact. However, there
      is a downside: it would greatly limit the economic benefit of expensing.

    We estimate that a five-year, limited expensing provision would only
      temporarily boost output, by at most 0.78 percent after five years. By the end
      of a decade, GDP would be only 0.18 percent higher than it otherwise would
      be, and the remaining gains would be lost soon after.

    Temporary expensing may encourage businesses to shift future investments
      forward to take advantage of the larger deductions, but would not raise the
      level of investment permanently.

    Instead of making expensing temporary, lawmakers could pursue other ways
      to speed cost recovery on a permanent basis, with permanent economic
      gains, without drastically reducing revenue.

    One option to reduce the cost of expensing is called depreciation indexing
      or neutral cost recovery, which we estimate could reduce the cost of
      expensing by 90 percent in the first decade while providing similar economic
      benefits.


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