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1 Garrett Watson, et al., Details and Analysis of Tax Proposals in President Biden's American Families Plan 1 (2021)

handle is hein.taxfoundation/dtlsadans0001 and id is 1 raw text is: 


Details and Analysis

of   Tax Proposals in President Biden's

American Families Plan


May  2021                   Garrett Watson
                            Senior Policy Analyst


Huaqun   Li
Senior Economist


Alex Durante
Economist


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The Biden administration's proposed American Families Plan (AFP) would partially
pay for about $1.8 trillion in new federal spending on education and family
programs  with about $661 billion in additional taxes on higher-income individuals
and pass-through businesses like partnerships, sole proprietorships, and S
corporations.

The tax system would  become  more progressive than under current law through
higher marginal tax rates on high earners and expanded refundable tax credits for
lower-income  taxpayers. The funding choices in the American Families Plan come at
the cost of reduced economic output, fewer jobs, and lower wages.

According to the Tax Foundation General Equilibrium Model, the American
Families Plan's tax changes would lead to a 0.4 percent reduction in long-run Gross
Domestic  Product (GDP). Gross National Product (GNP) would fall by 0.6 percent,
employment   would decrease by about 64,000 full-time equivalent jobs, and wages
would  drop 0.4 percent. Our analysis does not account for the economic or revenue
effects of the spending portions of the American Families Plan. It is valuable to
consider the impact of the American Families Plan tax proposals to see the trade-
offs of a particular way of financing the plan's proposed spending.

The proposed  American  Families Plan would include the following major tax
changes:

Raise the top marginal income tax rate from 37 percent to 39.6 percent, which
would  apply to income over $452,700 for single and head of household filers and
$509,300  for joint filers.

Tax long-term capital gains and qualified dividends as ordinary income for taxpayers
with taxable income above $1 million, resulting in a top marginal rate of 43.4
percent when  including the new top marginal rate of 39.6 percent and the 3.8
percent Net Investment Income  Tax (NlIT).

Tax unrealized gains at death for unrealized gains above $1 million ($2 million for
joint filers, plus current law capital gains exclusion of $250,000/$500,000 for
primary residences).


Erica York
Economist

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