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1 Scott Drenkard & Joseph Henchman, Cigarette Taxes and Cigarette Smuggling by State, 2014 1 (2017)

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TAXS
FOUNDATION

FISCAL

FACT
No. 537
Jan. 2017


Cigarette Taxes and Cigarette


Smuggling by State, 2014

By Scott Drenkard and Joseph Henchman
    Economist,      Vice President,
    Director of               Legal &
    State Projects  State Projects


Key Findings:

    Excessive tax rates on cigarettes approach de facto prohibition in some states,
    inducing black and gray market movement of tobacco products into high tax states
    from low tax states or foreign sources.

    New York has the highest inbound smuggling activity, with an estimated 55.4
    percent of cigarettes consumed in the state deriving from smuggled sources in
    2014. New York is followed by Arizona (49.6 percent of consumption smuggled),
    New Mexico (46.2 percent), Washington (45.2 percent), and Minnesota (35.5
    percent).

    New Hampshire has the highest level of outbound smuggling at 81.1 percent
    of consumption, likely due to its relatively low tax rates and close proximity to
    high tax states in the northeastern United States. Following New Hampshire is
    Idaho (24.8 percent outbound smuggling), Virginia (24.4 percent), Delaware (23.9
    percent), and Wyoming (21.2 percent).

    Following a cigarette tax increase from $2.51 to $3.51 in midyear of 2013,
    Massachusetts has seen a substantial increase in cigarette smuggling. Since the
    last year's edition of this report, the state has jumped from 12 percent inbound
    smuggling to 29.3 percent inbound smuggling, the seventh highest in the country.

    Cigarette tax rates increased in 31 states and the District of Columbia between
    2006 and 2014.


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