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1 Kyle Pomerleau, An Analysis of Senator Warren's 'Real Corporate Profits Tax' 1 (2019)

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FISCAL
FACT
No. 650
Apr. 2019


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An Analysis of Senator Warren's

'Real Corporate Profits Tax'

Kyle Pomerleau
Chief Economist and
Vice President of Economic Analysis



Key Findings

     Senator Elizabeth Warren  (D-MA)  released a proposal for a surtax on
      corporate profits called the Real Corporate Profits Tax.

     The  Real Corporate Profits Tax would be equal to 7 percent of a corporation's
      profits as reported on its financial statement with an exemption for the first
      $100  million in profits.

     According to the Tax Foundation  Model, the Real Corporate Profits Tax
      would  reduce long-run output by 1.9 percent, shrink the capital stock by 3.3
      percent, and reduce wages  by 1.5 percent.

     The  Real Corporate Profits Tax would raise approximately $872 billion
      between  2020  and 2029  on a conventional basis.

     The smaller projected economy  over the next decade would  result in lower
      individual income, payroll, and excise tax revenue collections. As a result, we
      estimate that this tax would increase federal revenue by $476 billion between
      2020  and 2029  on a dynamic basis.

     The  Real Corporate Profits Tax would reduce after-tax income for taxpayers
      at all income levels. However, it would raise taxes more for high-income
      taxpayers, increasing the progressivity of the U.S. tax code.

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