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38 Washington Q. [i] (2015-2016)

handle is hein.journals/wingtqurl38 and id is 1 raw text is: SPRING 2015 V 5 PROVOCATIONS 7 The Emerging Global Middle Class-So What? * Mathew Burrows Over the next few decades, a majority of the world's population won't be impoverished, and the middle class will become the most important social and economic sector in a majority of countries around the world, not just in the West. The principal author of the National Intelligence Council's last three Global Trends publications argues that this represents a tectonic shift that we're only beginning to come to grips with. Is a middle- class world sustainable? 23 Modi's Strategic Choice: How to Respond to Terrorism from Pakistan * George Perkovich and Toby Dalton How will Indian decision makers deter and/or respond to the next terrorist attack emanating from Pakistan? The odds-on favorite among defense analysts in Delhi is air power. Unfortunately, the attraction of limited, precise air-borne strikes is offset significantly by inadequacies and risks that could even make them counterproductive. 47 Ukraine, Security Assurances, and Nonproliferation * Robert Einhorn The failure of 1994 security assurances to Ukraine has been widely viewed as a serious blow to global nuclear VOLUME 38 NUMBER I

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