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33 Washington Q. 3 (2010)

handle is hein.journals/wingtqurl33 and id is 1 raw text is: Japan's Confused
Revolution
On September 2, 2009, Japan's new prime minister, Yukio Hatoyama,
received his first congratulatory phone call from President Barack Obama. In
their discussion, Hatoyama reportedly emphasized that the landslide victory of
his Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) on August 30 was due in large part to the
change theme championed by Obama himself in the 2008 U.S. presidential
election.' Hatoyama was not just flattering the U.S. president. At the time of
Japan's election, Obama enjoyed 90 percent popularity in Japan-far higher than
his support in the United States and about twice Hatoyama's own popularity in
most Japanese polls. The Japanese public was fascinated that the American
people had elected such an unlikely candidate and rejected the party in power at
the ballot box. They themselves had only voted a government out of power twice
before in Japanese history: in 1924 and 1947. All other peaceful changes of
power were worked out in smoke filled rooms by senior politicians. That was how
the conservative Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) that ruled Japan since 1955
briefly lost power to an eight-party coalition cobbled together in 1993 by
Morihiro Hosokawa.
Japan has a fundamentally conservative political culture-it does not do
bottom-up revolutions. Even the greatest internal regime change in Japanese
modern history-the 1868 Meiji Restoration-represented the return of Imperial
power after a struggle of one group of elites against another, rather than a popular
rebellion from below. Yet, on August 30 it was the Japanese voters who gave the
DPJ the biggest landslide in Japanese political history, with the party's ranks
Michael J. Green is a senior adviser and Japan Chair at CSIS and is concurrently on the
faculty at Georgetown University. He served on the staff of the National Security Council
from 2001 through 2005 and was special assistant to the president for national security affairs
and senior director for Asian affairs from January 2004 to December 2005. He is a member of
The Washington Quarterly's editorial board and can be reached at mgreen@csis.org.
Copyright © 2010 Center for Strategic and International Studies
The Washington Quarterly  33:1 pp. 3-19
DOI: 10.1080/01636600903418637
THE WASHINGTON QUARTERLY * JANUARY 2010

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