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45 Presidential Stud. Q. 1 (2015)

handle is hein.journals/pstlssqty45 and id is 1 raw text is: 








ARTICLES






How Presidents Shape Their Party's Reputation

                   and Prospects: New Evidence



                                     GARY   C. JACOBSON
                                 University of California, San Diego


           Previous work has demonstrated presidents have a powerful influence on their party's
      popularity, reputation for competence, perceived ideological leanings, and attractiveness as
      an  object of personal identification. This article extends the analysis by examining (1)
      how presidents shape popular opinions of congressional parties and leaders, (2) how evalua-
      tions of the president's handling of specific policy areas affect his party's reputation for
      effectiveness in handing these domains, (3) how presidents affect perceptions of their party's
      sympathy for ordinary people, (4) how presidents influence generic preferences for House can-
      didates and party control of Congress as measured in surveys between elections, and (5)
      how  presidents affect the partisan leanings of the generation that comes of political age
      during  their administrations. The evidence confirms that popular reactions to presidents
      have both immediate and longer-term consequences for how his party and, to a lesser extent,
      the rival party are regarded by the American people.


      This  article reports research undertaken   as part of a larger project  examining   how
postwar  U.S.  presidents have  affected their party's popular  standing  and  reputation  over
both  the short and  long  run. The  guiding   idea behind  the project  was spelled  out in an
earlier publication in this journal:

      The  president is his party's dominant public  face. His words and  actions articulate and
      define his party's current principles and objectives. Judgments  about his competence  in
      managing   domestic and foreign affairs inform assessments of his party's competence in such
      matters. The  components  of a president's supporting coalition, and the interests he favors
      while governing,  help to define the party's constituent social base and thus appeal as an
      object of individual identification. People's affective reactions to the president, whatever
      their source, inevitably color their feelings about the other politicians in his coalition. Every
      president thus shapes public  attitudes toward his party as well as beliefs about who and
      what  it stands for and how well it governs when in office; insofar as the party label represents
      a brand  name, the president bears prime  responsibility for the brand's current image and
      status. (Jacobson 2012, 684)


      Gary  C. Jacobson is distinguished professor of political science at the University of California, San
Diego. He specializes in the study of U.S. elections, parties, interest groups, public opinion, and Congress. His
most recent book is A Divider, Not a Uniter: George W. Bush and the American People.


Presidential Studies Quarterly 45, no. 1 (March)
© 2015 Center for the Study of the Presidency


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