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41 Presidential Stud. Q. 1 (2011)

handle is hein.journals/pstlssqty41 and id is 1 raw text is: 







ARTICLES






    The Vice Presidential Home State Advantage

  Reconsidered: Analyzing the Interactive Effect

         of Home State Population and Political

                        Experience, 1884-2008



                                 CHRISTOPHER J. DEVINE
                                    The Ohio State University

                                      KYLE   C. KOPKO
                                      Elizabethtown College


           Previous research has found that presidential tickets perform particularly well in a vice
      presidential candidate's home state when that state is relatively low in population. In this
      article, we argue that selecting a vice presidential candidate from a small state is not sufficient
      to produce a large vice presidential home state advantage; rather, state population should matter
      only insofar as the vice presidential candidate has extensive experience within that state's
      political system. Analysis of presidential election returns from 1884 through 2008 demonstrates
      the statistically significant interactive effect of home state population and political experience on
      the size of the vice presidential home state advantage. The models presented in the article perform
      much better than models that do not account for this interactive effect.



      Do  vice presidential candidates  influence voting in presidential elections? Certainly
many   in the media  and the public  think so, as indicated by the extensive  media  coverage
of, and speculation  about, possible  vice presidential selections and their strategic impli-
cations for presidential elections. Political scientists, however, have questioned  the theo-
retical and  empirical  bases  for expecting  vice presidential  candidates  to  significantly
influence  presidential voting.  A  particular area of scholarly  interest, addressed  in this
article, is the vice presidential home  state advantage.




      Christopher j. Devine is a doctoral candidate in the Department of Political Science at The Ohio State University.
His research interests include voting behavior, political psychology, partisanship, and ideology.
      Kyle C. Kopko is an assistant professor in the Department of Political Science at Elizabethtown College in
Pennsylvania. His research interests include judicial politics, political psychology, and partisanship.
      AUTHORS'   NOTE:  We extend our sincerest thanks to Herbert E Weisberg and Jeffrey L. Budziak for their
helpful comments and suggestions on previous drafts of this article.

Presidential Studies Quarterly 41, no. 1 (March)  1
© 2011 Center for the Study of the Presidency

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