About | HeinOnline Law Journal Library | HeinOnline Law Journal Library | HeinOnline

23 J. Quantitative Criminology 1 (2007)

handle is hein.journals/jquantc23 and id is 1 raw text is: J Quant Criminol (2007) 23:1-22
DOI 10.1007/s10940-006-9016-9
Using Booking Data to Model Drug User Arrest Rates:
A Preliminary to Estimating the Prevalence of Chronic
Drug Use
William Rhodes - Ryan Kling - Patrick Johnston
Published online: 26 October 2006
O Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2006
Abstract Public policy is often concerned with the size and characteristics of
special populations that are difficult to reach in household surveys. Chronic drug
users, who often live outside conventional households, provide the illustration
motivating this paper. An alternative to household surveys is to question chronic
drug users where they congregate-jails, treatment programs, and shelters, for
example. Using such opportunistic data for prevalence estimation raises difficult
problems for statistical inference: Study subjects who arrive at the collection points
cannot be deemed a random sample of the general population. However, if we could
estimate the rates at which chronic drug users arrive at the collection points, then we
could use those estimates to weight the sample to represent the population. This
paper presents a modified Poisson mixture model used to estimate the stochastic
process that accounts for how chronic drug users get arrested. It uses that model to
estimate arrest rates for 38 counties using up to sixteen quarters of data from the
Arrestee Drug Abuse Monitoring survey.
Keywords    Chronic drug use Hard-to-reach populations Arrest rates
Endogenous stratification  Poisson mixture models Model-based estimation
W. Rhodes (H)
Domestic Health Division, Abt Associates Inc., 55 Wheeler Street, Cambridge,
MA 02138-1168, USA
e-mail: BillRhodes@abtassoc.com
R. Kling
Domestic Health Division, Abt Associates Inc., Cambridge, MA, USA
P. Johnston
Clinical Research Program, Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
4_ Springer

What Is HeinOnline?

HeinOnline is a subscription-based resource containing thousands of academic and legal journals from inception; complete coverage of government documents such as U.S. Statutes at Large, U.S. Code, Federal Register, Code of Federal Regulations, U.S. Reports, and much more. Documents are image-based, fully searchable PDFs with the authority of print combined with the accessibility of a user-friendly and powerful database. For more information, request a quote or trial for your organization below.



Short-term subscription options include 24 hours, 48 hours, or 1 week to HeinOnline.

Contact us for annual subscription options:

Already a HeinOnline Subscriber?

profiles profiles most