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80 Genus 1 (2024)

handle is hein.journals/genus80 and id is 1 raw text is: 


Genus


Buonomo etal. Genus  (2024) 80:1
https-//doi.org/10.1186/s41118-023-00209-6


ORIGINAL ARTICLE                                                                                  Open Access


In-between centers and suburbs? Increasing

differentials in recent demographic dynamics

of Italian metropolitan cities


Alessio Buonomol, Federico Benassil, Gerardo Gal|o2, Luca Salvati3 and Salvatore Strozzal


*Correspondence:
a esso.buonomo@unIna.it
University of Naples Federico
Naples, Italy
Z Italian National Institute
of Statistics (Istat), Rome, Italy
3 University of RomeLa
Sapienza, Rome, Italy


Springer Open


  Abstract
  Verifying the intrinsic stability of demographic processes over time and space is a piv-
  otal task from both science and policy perspectives. Compared with other regions
  of the old continent, a latent peculiarity of demographic systems in Southern Europe
  is their persistent heterogeneity over space, especially observed across metropolitan
  regions.'Centers'and 'peripheries'are thus becoming representative of, respectively,
  territories undergoing demographic growth  and decline. The former corresponds
  to urban areas, being attractive for different population segments. The present
  study illustrates the results of a statistical analysis of total population data over time
  (2011-2020) and its decomposition in natural increase and net migration rates in 14
  metropolitan cities of Italy. Assuming that central and peripheral (e.g., suburbs)
  locations show differential trends of natural increase and net migration, our analysis
  verifies whether (i) central locations behave homogeneously in terms of population
  dynamics, and whether  (ii) a North-South gradient holds. Results indicate how (met-
  ropolitan) demographic patterns no longer reflect a traditional gap between Northern
  and Southern regions, while outlining a subtler divide in growing and declining con-
  texts. The few still-growing metropolitan areas were all located in North-Central Italy,
  and reflect more polarized socioeconomic contexts than in the past. Internal migration
  was likely the most powerful factor that discriminates growing from declining cities.
  Such evidence indicates that strengthening the self restraining capacity of Southern
  Italian territories contributes to increase their attractiveness of international migration
  flows, counteracting demographic shrinkage.
  Keywords:   Urbanization, Population growth, Natural increase, Net migration,
  Southern Europe

Introduction
Cities are the joint result of modernity  and  the product  of a broader  demographic
transition determining  the intrinsic shift from rural societies to urban ones (Cham-
pion  &  Hugo,  2004).  The  motivations  at  the base  of the  increasing interest on
urban  demography   have  been  made  clear in seminal works,  such as Zelinsky  (1971)
and  Keyfitz (1980). It is well-known  how  urbanization  processes  began,  at least in
advanced   economies,  with  the industrial revolution, being  in turn associated with


SThe Author(s) 2023. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits
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