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75 Foreign Aff. 33 (1996)
Pivotal States and U.S. Strategy

handle is hein.journals/fora75 and id is 61 raw text is: Pivotal States and U.S. Strategy Robert S. Chase, Emily B. Hill, and Paul Kennedy THE NEW DOMINOES HALF A DECADE after the collapse of the Soviet Union, American policymakers and intellectuals are still seeking new principles on which to base national strategy. The current debate over the future of the international order-including predictions of the end of history, a clash of civilizations, a coming anarchy, or a borderless world-has failed to generate agreement on what shape U.S. policy should take. However, a single overarching framework may be inap- propriate for understanding today's disorderly and decentralized world. America's security no longer hangs on the success or failure of containing communism. The challenges are more diffuse and numer- ous. As a priority, the United States must manage its delicate rela- tionships with Europe, Japan, Russia, and China, the other major players in world affairs. However, America's national interest also re- quires stability in important parts of the developing world. Despite congressional pressure to reduce or eliminate overseas assistance, it is vital that America focus its efforts on a small number of countries whose fate is uncertain and whose future will profoundly affect their surrounding regions. These are the pivotal states. The idea of a pivotal state-a hot spot that could not only deter- mine the fate of its region but also affect international stability-has a distinguished pedigree reaching back to the British geographer Sir ROBERT S. CHASE is a Ph.D. candidate in economics at Yale Univer- sity. EMILY B. HILL is a Ph.D. candidate in history at Yale University. PAUL KENNEDY is Professor of History at Yale University. [33]

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