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16 Comp. Pol. Stud. 3 (1983-1984)

handle is hein.journals/compls16 and id is 1 raw text is: The article suggests that the massive transformation of the political system often referred to as political developmentis responsible for the movement from high to low birth- and death rates in national populations. The effect of the changing political system is independent of (and in addition to) the effects of socioeconomic changes previously presented in the theory of the demographic transition. The article reports first the nature of the systematic connection between change in the political system on the one hand and change in vital rates on the other. Second, it presents a new empirical measure of the capacity and effectiveness of whole political systems. POLITICAL DETERMINANTS OF POPULATION DYNAMICS JACEK KUGLER Vanderbilt University A.F.K. ORGANSKI University of Michigan J. TIMOTHY JOHNSON University of Michigan YOUSSEF COHEN University of Pennsylvania M ost political scientists have traditionally used demographic data to help account for political behavior, but few have analyzed the influence that political change has on demographic patterns and specifically on vital rates that are central to the field of political demography (see Organski and Organski, 1961; Choucri, 1974). We report here how the massive political transformations that most countries underwent in the last half century have influenced the mortality and fertility of their populations. AUTHORS' NOTE: This is a summary of portions of the analysis contained in A.F.K. Organski, Jacek Kugler, J. Timothy Johnson, and Youssef Cohen, Births, Deaths, and Taxes (forthcoming). We are grateful for the help of Ray Langesten, William Domke, Glenn Palmer, and Joseph Marlowe, andfor the thoughtful criticism of two anonymous COMPARATIVE POLITICAL STUDIES, Vol. 16 No. 1, April 1983 3-36 @ 1983 Sage Publications 0010-4140/83/010003-34$3.653 from the SAGE Social Science Collections. All Rights Reserved.

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