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85 Chi.-Kent L. Rev. [i] (2010)

handle is hein.journals/chknt85 and id is 1 raw text is: CHICAGO-KENT
LAW REVIEW

VOLUME 85                             2010                           NUMBER 1
CONTENTS
SYMPOSIUM:
SYMPOSIUM ON CRIMINAL PROCEDURE
SYMPOSIUM EDITOR
RUSSELL L. WEAVER
INNOCENCE, EVIDENCE, AND THE COURTS                       Morgan Cloud           3
I. INNOCENCE
DEADLY DILEMMAS II: BAIL AND CRIME                         Larry Laudan        23
and Ronald J. Allen
This is another in a series of papers examining the interaction between the
implications of the deadly dilemma of governing that virtually all governmental
action involves unavoidable conflict between equally laudatory goals and the con-
ventional way of thinking about social errors. Typically the pursuit of any particu-
lar goal has as its consequence precisely the kind of harm that is desired to be
avoided. For example, serious felons are sent to prison in part to protect innocent
parties from their future predations, but those same felons often prey upon fellow
prisoners, including murder. Moreover, felonies committed in prison only begin
the catalogue of wrongful consequences to innocent individuals flowing from
incarceration. If it is sufficient to end a social practice because it causes innocents
to die, then we are obliged to eliminate prisons-and hospitals for that matter.
The point cuts even deeper. Virtually every governmental decision affects
who will live and die. Whether roads are built, where, and to what standard of
safety do this. Decisions on welfare programs do, as does the allocation of medi-
cal research funds or the choice to fund research instead of primary education, or
vice-versa, or whatever. To the extent such matters are considered in the litera-
ture at all, the explicit treatment of errors by both the legal system and legal schol-
ars has been curious both analytically and normatively. The simplest example of
this is the virtually exclusive focus of both on false positives (false findings of lia-
bility, civil or criminal) and false negatives (false findings of no liability). This
neglects two fundamental issues: first that there are four possible findings at trial,
the two mistakes and the two possible correct verdicts; second and even more
importantly, that sensible social regulation must be concerned not just with out-
comes at trial and the resultant effect on litigation behavior but also with the ef-
fect of trial decisions on primary behavior. In sum, we suggest that sensible social
policy must involve an analytically sound approach to decisions involving such
deadly dilemmas. As we have demonstrated in previous work, the failure to do so
leads to both analytically and morally perverse results in some areas. We demon-
strate that same failure here in the context of pre-trial release decisions. We also
suggest a modification of current practice that might ameliorate costs without alto-
gether eliminating bail.

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