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52 U. Mich. J. L. Reform Online 1 (2018)

handle is hein.journals/caveat52 and id is 1 raw text is: 






RUNNING IT TWICE (OR THRICE): DOUBLE-HEADER,
TRIPLE-HEADER, AND REVERSE BASEBALL ARBITRATION


Michael  J. Hasday*

    Abstract:

    This Essay illustrates how the Running It Twice concept that makes poker
    games less of a gamble can also be used in another forum where large
    amounts of money can be at stake: arbitrations. I introduce three new forms of
    arbitration based on this concept: Double-Header Baseball Arbitration,
    Triple-Header Baseball Arbitration, and Reverse Baseball Arbitration. In this
    Essay, I show that that these new forms of arbitration are superior to current
    methods because they result in what the average or median qualified
    arbitrator would award-thereby  making  arbitration more accurate,
    predictable, and fair.



                           INTRODUCTION

    Imagine  you are on the game  show, Heads  or Tails. The rules of this
game  show   are quite simple. The  game  show  host flips a coin. Heads
you  get a million dollars. Tails you get nothing. Being a risk averse sort,
you  would  probably  want  to sell your spot  on this game  show   for
something  approaching   $500,000,  the expected value  of your  payout.
But, unfortunately, that is not permitted.

    However,   you are allowed an option that is almost as good: you can
have the game  show  host flip the coin up to 100 times, with each head
proportionately less rewarded. For example,  you could have  the host flip
the coin twice, with the payout for heads set at $500,000; ten times, with
the payout  for heads set at $100,000; or 100 times, with the payout  for
heads  set at $10,000 (the payout  for tails for every version remains at
$0.) Under  each  of these options, the expected  value of the  game  re-



© 2018, Michael J. Hasday.
Associate, Anderson & Ochs, LLP. Juris Doctor, Northwestern Pritzker School of Law, 2001.
Thanks to Carol M. Hasday, Joni Hasday, Robert J. Hasday, and Hannah Rubashkin for their help-
ful comments. All views expressed, and any mistakes made, are my own. Correspondence may be
sent to: mikehasday@gmail.com.
1. To calculate the expected value of a game, each possible outcome of the game is multiplied by its
probability. The sum of all of these products is the expected value of the game.


I

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