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23 Cato J. 227 (2003-2004)
Explaining Botswana's Success: The Critical Role of Post-Colonial Policy

handle is hein.journals/catoj23 and id is 233 raw text is: EXPLAINING BOTSWANA'S SUCCESS: THE
CRITICAL ROLE OF POST-COLONIAL POLICY
Scott A. Beaulier
Most economists agree that private property, the rule of law, and
free markets are crucial for economic development, but there is still
disagreement over what other factors determine why some nations
are rich while others are poor. Jeffrey Sachs (2001) and Sachs and
Warner (1995, 1997) argue that climate, geography, proximity to the
coast, and distance from the equator are significant determinants of
economic growth (see also Diamond 1997). By contrast, North
(1981), North and Thomas (1973), and Rosenberg and Birdzell (1986)
insist that a particular set of institutions-namely, polycentric gover-
nance, the rule of law, and a rich respect for private property-have
led to the West growing rich.
More recently, Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson (2001), hereafter
AJR, argue that geography and demography matter because they
affect the quality of institutions: During colonialism, low-quality in-
stitutions were established in regions with high-population densities
and low life expectancies. By contrast, regions with low-population
densitites and high life expectancies established better institutions.
Thus, sub-Saharan Africa was left with bad institutions because colo-
nists in Africa faced low life expectancies and tried to colonize areas
with large populations. The incentive for colonists was to expropriate
rents as quickly as possible rather than think of the long run.
Each theory has some explanatory power, yet each has its prob-
lems. As Gregory Mankiw (1995: 303-7) points out, our traditional
econometric tools cannot sort out the causes of economic growth
because our models are constrained by multicollinearity, simultaneity,
Cato journal, Vol. 23, No. 2 (Fall 2003). Copyright © Cato Institute. All rights reserved.
Scott Beaulier is a Global Prosperity Initative (GPI) Fellow at the Mercatus Center at
George Mason University. He thanks Peter Boettke, Bryan Caplan, Tyler Cowen, Eric Cramp-
ton, Benjamin Powell, John Robert Subrick, Richard Wagner, the participants at the 2003
Association of Private Enterprise Education conference in Las Vegas, the participants at the
Mereatus Center brovn bag series, and an anonymous referee for helpful comments and
criticism. He also thanks the Mercatus Center for financial support.

227

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