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104-10308-10036 JFK Assassination Records Archives 1 (10/01/1962)

handle is hein.jfk/jfkarch78784 and id is 1 raw text is: 1104-10308 10036

2022 RELEASE UNDER THE PRESIDENT JOHN F. KENNEDY ASSASSINATION RECORDS ACT OF 1992
SECRET
1 Oct 62
To: Chief, TF'W/FI
From:L. 'd. Flot7
Subject: A:LACE 1 res'onse to questions about succession in the event of Cgotro 'elt
(29 Sept 62-
1. QUESTION: If Fidel should suldenly die or be killed, what kind of struggle
for power would ensue and what element would win outf
2. ANSWIERS Even the yusanos say it would be useless to kill Fidel; the thing
would go on. No one thinks Fidel's death would be useful to the counter-revolution.
Maybe it would in the long run, but certainly not in the fart run. It is hard to sa:
what would happen. Power is in the hands of a few people. Some small group (=ra:.ito
would form and take power strongly into its hands and hold the thing together. 'nat
would happen then is again hard to say; even harder is it to pedict which element
would win out. But generally speaking, the barBudos (and a small group of the:n, at
that) would win out, and not the cofmunists. In the latter connection, people in
Havana seem to think that Blas Roca and Lazaro Peng are now longer powerful figures.
Of the old co.:munists, Carlos Rafael Rod-Icuez is the most prestigious. R lurez
Jimenez could make a comeback, although he is not too important at this time. The
Minister of Labor, Martinez Sanchez, is very important.
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