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104-10308-10036 JFK Assassination Records Archives 1 (10/1/1962)

handle is hein.jfk/jfkarch47577 and id is 1 raw text is: 104-1 03 8-1 0036


SECRET


1 Oct 62


Tos Chief, TFf/FI

From

Subject: AMLACE 1 response to questions about succession in the event of Csstro ieat.
         (29 Sept  2)

     1. QUESTIONs If Fidel ahouli suldenly die or be killed, what kini of struggle
                  for power would ensue and what element would win outf

     2. ANSIERS  Even the Eusanos say it would be useless to kill Fideli the thing
would go on. No one thinks Fidel's death would be useful to the counter-revolution.
Maybe it would in the long run, but certainly not in the dort run. It is hard to say
what would happen. Power is in the hands of a few people. Some small group (__it_
would form and take power strongly into its hands and hold the thing together. That
would happen then is again hard to say; even harder is it to predict which element
would win out. But generally speaukin, the barBudos (and a small group of then, vt
that) would win out, and not the cotmunists.  In the latter connection, people in
Havana seem to think that Blas Rooa and Lazaro Peng are now longer powerful figures.
Of the old co.:munists, Carlos Rafael RodAcuez is the most prestigious. R VNres
Jimenez could make a comeback, although he is not too important at this time. The
Minister of Labor, Martinez Sanchez, is very important.





















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