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GAO-23-106448 1 (2023-02-27)

handle is hein.gao/gaoohl0001 and id is 1 raw text is: The Big Picture
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) estimated the tax gap-
the difference between tax amounts that taxpayers should
have paid and what they actually paid voluntarily and on
time-to be $496 billion per year for tax years 2014-2016.
The tax gap is a complex problem that requires a multipart
solution. A small reduction in the gap could yield major fiscal
benefits to the federal government.
IRS's Annual Average Tax Gap Estimate for Tax Years
2014-2016
Taxpayers       Dollars (in trillions)
owed about
$3.3 trillion/        I       This difference of $496 blio/y er
year in federal                      the Gross Tax Gap.
taxes from
things like:
- Individual                  Although IRS estimated that it will
income taxes                          collect an extra
 Corporate                            bilin/ea through
income taxes                          late payments and
- Employment                           enforcement activities,
taxes
it also estimated that
However, they                          S    l onlyea

actually paid
about

Taxes Taxes
owed    paid

Source: Internal Revenue Service (IRS). I GAO-23-106448
IRS uses several approaches to estimate the different
components of the tax gap, but these approaches have
limitations. Estimates can have measurement and sampling
error and can vary in the quality of information available.
Further, the estimates do not fully reflect all areas of the tax
system. For example, foreign or illegal activities, digital
assets, and some corporate income tax are not fully included
because data are either not reliable or not available.
Despite those limitations, IRS's estimate provides useful
insights into the sources of the tax gap. For example, IRS
found underreporting of tax liabilities makes up 80 percent of
the gross tax gap. Individual underreporting alone represents
more than half (56 percent) of the gross tax gap. The

individual underreporting category includes estimates related
to income from sole proprietorships, partnerships, S
Corporations, estates, and trusts, among others.
Estimated Average Annual Gross Tax Gap by Type of
Noncompliance and Tax (Tax Years 2014-2016)
Share of Gross Tax Gap ITax Years 2014-2016

Gross
Tax Gap
$496 billion

60%
50
40
30
20
10
0

40

8%    50
40
30 5W4
20
10
Individual       60%          is
income tax         50
Employment tax     40       _
30
Corporate          3
incomnetax         20
10
Estate tax          0    . N

$398 billion
UNDERREPORTING
of tax liabilities on timely
filed tax returns
$59 bilion
UNDERPAYMENT
of taxes due from timely filed returns

Source: GAO analysis of Intemal Revenue Service (IRS) data, I GAO-23-106448
What GAO's Work Shows
Our work identified issues that contribute to the tax gap.
*   Limited third party inforrrmation reportin . The
extent to which individual taxpayers accurately report
their income is closely aligned with whether third
parties (e.g., employers) report income to them and to

GAO-23-106448 Tax Gap

$b        4  $

$39 billion
NON FI-ING
when a taxpayer fails to file a required
tax return altogether or on time
No estimate available
$7$<.05

$3

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