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NSIAD-85-70 1 (1985-04-12)

handle is hein.gao/gaobabnqo0001 and id is 1 raw text is: UNITED STATES GENERAL ACCOUNTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20548 April 12, 1985 NATIONAL SECURITY AND INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS DIVISION B-21 7978jj111liili The Honorable M. Peter McPherson Administrator, Agency for International 126737 Development Dear Mr. McPherson: Subject: An Overview of the Emergency Situation in Ethiopia (GAO/NSIAD 85-70) As part of our overall review of U.S. famine relief to Africa, we made a visit to Ethiopia in February 1985 to obtain an overview of the emergency situation.1 Our work was done at the Agency for International Develop- ment (AID) office in Ethiopia where we reviewed documents and interviewed AID officials. We discussed the emergency situation with private and voluntary organizations, as well as United Nations, other donor, and host government officials. We also visited two feeding centers in Wello Province and observed the operations at the Port of Assab. We obtained information in a number of areas. The informa- tion which we feel might be useful to you is summarized below. PLANNING STATISTICS Firm statistics are difficult to establish in Ethiopia, but in December 1984, donors generally agreed that, of the coun- try's estimated 42 million total population, about 7.7 million will be at risk of starvation in 1985.2 The government esti- mated that about 2.4 million of the total number of people at risk are located in the provinces of Tigray and Eritrea where rebel activity continues. The number of people at risk of star- vation could turn out to be higher than 7.7 million in 1985 even assuming a harvest approaching normal levels for the year. 1See also The United States' Response to the Ethiopian Food Crisis, GAO/NSIAD-85-65, April 8, 1985. 21n February 1985, the UN Office for Emergency Operations in Africa estimated the number to be 7.9 million. (472051)

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