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EMD-79-5 1 (1978-12-12)

handle is hein.gao/gaobaayhw0001 and id is 1 raw text is: DOCUMENT RESUME 07943 - [C3488600J Projected Timber Scarcities in the Pacific Northwest; A Critique of 11 Studies. END-79-5; B-125053. December 12, 178. 429 pp. + 3 appendices (5 pp,) . Report to the Congress; by Elmer B. Staats, Comptroller General. Issue Area: Materials: Stimulating Private Production, Recyclizq, and Conservation (1807); Land Use Planning and Control: Preservation of Public Lands (2303). Contact: Enerqy rind Hiu-2als Div. Budget Function: Natura! Resources, Environment. and Energy: Conservation and Land Management (302) . Orqanization Concerned: Department o± Agriculture; Forest Service. Congressional Relevance: House Committee cn Interior and Insular Affairs; Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources; Conqress. , Authority: National Forest Managemert Act of 1976. Concern has been growing about possibly serious timber shortages in the Douglas-fir region of the Pacific Northwest (western Washington, western Oregon, and parts of nortb4rL California). A critical analysis is provided of 1* studies dealing with various aspects of the proJected timber shortage in the Pacific NorLhwest. Findirgs/Conclusions: Generally, differences ar conflicts in the conclusions reached by the 11 studies were due more to differivg assumptions than to faults in the data used or to the vays the data were applied. The studies generally agreed that continuing current timber growing and harvesting practices would likely lead to a sizable drop of available tiaber from the Pacific Northwest in the years just ahead. The economic effects appeared to be considerably higher timber prices, a loss of market share by the region (in 1drt to imports), and possibly a decline in regional employment and income. The studies also agreed that regional timber shcrtages could be averted by increased in'-estment Jn growing tismber, revised harvest schedules, or botL. Questions raised by the studies concern: the optimuz amount and applicaticn of forest investmet; what, if any, changes should be made to harvest schedules; and the extent of possible environmental damage or limitations on nontimber uses of the forest that could result from these changes. Recommendations: The Secretary of Aqriculture should prepare a single ccnprehensi.ve study cf harvest policy options for the Congress. (RES)

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