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GAO-09-724R 1 (2009-07-08)

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T   E   IAccountability * Integrity * Reliability
United States Government Accountability Office
Washington, DC 20548




           July 8, 2009

           The Honorable Max Baucus
           Committee on Finance, Chairman
           United States Senate

           Subject: Climate Change Trade Measures: Considerations for U.S. Policy Makers

           Dear Mr. Chairman:
           Changes in the earth's climate attributable to increased concentrations of greenhouse gases
           may have significant environmental and economic impacts in the United States and
           internationally. To mitigate climate change effects, countries are taking or considering
           varying approaches to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, such as carbon dioxide, which is
           the most important greenhouse gas due to its significant volume. These approaches range
           from measures to increase energy efficiency to longer-term efforts to develop technologies to
           establish a less carbon-intensive energy infrastructure. A U.S. policy to mitigate climate
           change may require domestic production facilities to achieve specified reductions or employ
           a market-based mechanism, such as establishing a price on emissions.

           Between 2007 and 2009, Congress introduced a number of climate change bills, many of
           which contained proposals for a domestic emissions pricing system, such as a cap-and-trade
           system' or a carbon tax2. Through greenhouse gas emissions pricing, governments create an
           incentive for parties to lower their greenhouse gas emissions by placing a cost on them.
           However, imposing costs on energy-intensive industries in the United States could potentially
           place them at a disadvantage to foreign competitors. In addition, emissions pricing could
           have negative environmental consequences, such as carbon leakage, whereby emissions
           reductions in the United States are replaced by increases in production and emissions in less-
           regulated countries. As the Congress considers the design of a domestic emissions pricing
           system, a key challenge will be balancing the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions with
           the need to address the competitiveness of U.S. industries.

           In anticipation of Senate deliberation on climate change legislative proposals, you asked us to
           examine how greenhouse gas emissions pricing could potentially affect the international
           competitiveness of U.S. industries, and to examine trade measures being considered as part



           'A cap-and-trade system is an emissions pricing system in which the government applies an aggregate
           cap or quota to limit total emissions from regulated sources, which are required to hold allowances to
           cover their emissions. Allowances are allocated by the government and may be traded. Sources whose
           allowances exceed their emissions may offer permits for sale, while sources for which emissions
           exceed allowances will need to buy them.
           2Under a carbon tax system, regulated sources pay a charge based on the level of their emissions.

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