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GAO-09-746R 1 (2009-06-30)

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.Accountability * Integrity * Reliability
United States Government Accountability Office
Washington, DC 20548


           June 30, 2009

           The Honorable Herb Kohl
           Chairman
           Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy
             and Consumer Rights
           Committee on the Judiciary
           United States Senate

           The Honorable Charles E. Grassley
           United States Senate

           Subject: U.S. Agriculture: Retail Food Prices Grew Faster Than the Prices Farmers
           Received for Agricultural Commodities, but Economic Research Has Not Established That
           Concentration Has Affected These Trends

           Over the past 25 years, farmers have received a decreasing share of the consumer food dollar.
           Some analysts and farm interest groups are concerned that this decline can be attributed, in
           part, to increasing concentration in agriculture. They believe that firms in highly
           concentrated markets may be able to exert market power by raising retail food prices while
           also depressing prices farmers receive for agricultural commodities. Others have argued that
           concentration has facilitated changes, such as technological innovations, that have improved
           productivity and served to lower food prices while increasing some farm incomes.

           The influence of any one factor, such as concentration, in determining agricultural
           commodity and retail food prices (commodity and food prices) varies and is difficult to
           isolate. Our prior work has noted that concentration may be one of a number of factors that
           can influence prices along the food marketing chain from farms to food processors, retail
           stores, and finally, consumers.2 To better understand the impact of concentration on
           commodity and food prices, economists have used a variety of analytical techniques and data
           sets. However, their work has been complicated by various issues, such as the difficulty in
           fully accounting for shifting consumer demand for food products, the introduction of new


           'Concentration is the extent to which a small number of firms controls most of the sales or purchases
           in a specific industry or market. The term consolidation is closely related to concentration, and refers
           to the organizing of farms, food processors, or retail stores into fewer, larger firms. For the purposes
           of this report, we have focused on concentration because the relevant economic literature has
           assessed its role in market power and commodity and food price manipulation.
           2GAO, Dairy Industry: Information on Milk Prices, Factors Affecting Prices, and Dairy Policy
           Options, GAO-05-50 (Washington, D.C.: Dec. 29, 2004); Economic Models of Cattle Prices: How USDA
           Can Act to Improve Models to Explain Cattle Prices, GAO-02-246 (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 15, 2002);
           and Beef Industry: Packer Market Concentration and Cattle Prices, GAO/RCED-91-28 (Washington,
           D.C.: Dec. 6,1990).


GAO-09-746R Concentration in Agriculture

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