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GAO-03-247R 1 (2003-03-04)

handle is hein.gao/gaobaamdu0001 and id is 1 raw text is: 


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       Accountability * Integrity * Reliability
United States General Accounting Office
Washington, DC 20548


         March 4, 2003



         The Honorable Thomas A. Scully
         Administrator
         Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services

         Subject: Medicare Trust Funds Actuarial Estimates: Efforts Have Been Made to
         Improve Internal Control over Projection Process but Some Weaknesses Remain

         Dear Mr. Scully:

         Medicare spending growth remains one of the most pressing and complex issues
         facing the Congress and the nation. During calendar year 2001, the most recent year
         for which complete data were available at the time of our review, over 40 million
         Medicare enrollees received $240.9 billion in benefits from the trust funds maintained
         for Hospital Insurance (HI) and Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI), Medicare's
         two components.

         The Boards of Trustees' of the trust funds are required to report annually on the
         current and projected financial status of the Medicare program to the Congress and
         the American people.2 The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services' (CMS) Office
         of the Actuary (OACT) provides estimates to the boards to assist them in setting
         certain assumptions about HI and SMI future performance that are needed to prepare
         long-range and short-range projections of the financial status of the trust funds for
         the Trustees' reports. Based on the boards' assumptions, OACT then prepares the
         projections and the Trustees' reports for the boards. In its 2002 annual report, the
         Board of Trustees estimated that, under current rules, HI expenditures would begin





         'The Medicare Boards of Trustees were established under the Social Security Act, as amended, to
         oversee the financial operations of the Medicare trust funds. The boards are composed of the
         Secretary of the Treasury, the Secretary of Labor, the Secretary of Health and Human Services, the
         Commissioner of Social Security, and two members of the public who are appointed by the President
         and confirmed by the Senate. These same Trustees serve on the Board of Trustees for the Social
         Security trust funds. Many of the demographic and economic assumptions that determine Medicare
         costs and income are common to the Social Security trust funds.
         2 42 U.S.C. 1395i requires the Medicare Trustees to submit an annual report on the HI Trust Fund; 42
         U.S.C. 1395t requires the Trustees to submit an annual report on the SMI Trust Fund.


GAO-03-247R CMS's Controls over Projections

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