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Defense Primer: Strategic Nuclear Forces


The   Nucear Triad
Since the early 1960s the United States has maintained a
triad of strategic nuclear delivery vehicles. These include
long-range land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles
(ICBMs), long-range submarine-launched ballistic missiles
(SLBMs),  and long-range heavy bombers equipped to carry
nuclear-armed cruise missiles and nuclear-armed gravity
bombs. The number  of nuclear warheads carried on these
delivery vehicles peaked in the late 1980s, at around 14,000
warheads. It has been declining ever since, both as the
United States complies with limits in U.S.-Russian arms
control agreements and as it has changed requirements after
the Cold War. At the present time, the United States is
reducing its forces to comply with the New START Treaty,
which entered into force in early 2011. Table 1 displays the
force structure that the United States plans to retain when
that treaty's limits become binding in February 2018.

Table  I. U.S. Strategic Nuclear Forces Under  New
START
                 Total         Deployed     Warheads
  System       Launchers      Launchers        (est.)a
Minuteman         454            400            400
Ill ICBM
Trident (D-       280            240           1,090
5) SLBM
B-52
Bome               46             42            42
bombers
B-2 bombers        20             18             18
Total             800             700          1,550
Source: U.S. Department of Defense, Report on Plan to Implement
the Nuclear Force Reductions, Limitations, and Verification,
Washington, DC, April 8, 2014.

a.  The treaty attributes only one warhead to each deployed
    bomber, although they could carry up to 20 bombs or cruise
    missiles.

Rationale for the Triad
Early in the Cold War, the United States developed these
three types of nuclear delivery vehicles, in large part
because each of the military services wanted to play a role
in the U.S. nuclear arsenal. However, during the 1960s and
1970s, analysts developed a more reasoned rationale for the
nuclear triad. They argued that these different basing
modes  had complementary strengths and weaknesses that
would enhance deterrence and discourage a Soviet first
strike. For example, ICBMs were believed to have the
accuracy and prompt responsiveness needed to attack
hardened targets such as Soviet command posts and ICBM
silos, SLBMs had the survivability needed to complicate
Soviet efforts to launch a disarming first strike and to
retaliate if such an attack were attempted, and heavy
bombers could be dispersed quickly and launched to


Updated December  11, 2018


enhance their survivability, and they could be recalled to
their bases if a crisis did not escalate into conflict.

The United States has reaffirmed the value of the nuclear
triad. The Obama Administration noted, in the 2010
Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), that the unique
characteristics of each leg of the triad were important to the
goal of maintaining strategic stability at reduced numbers of
warheads. It pointed out that strategic nuclear submarines
(SSBNs)  are the most survivable leg of the triad, that
single-warhead ICBMs  contribute to stability and are not
vulnerable to air defenses, and that bombers can be
deployed as a signal in crisis, to strengthen deterrence and
provide assurances to allies and partners. It also noted that
retaining sufficient force structure in each leg to allow the
ability to hedge effectively by shifting weight from one
Triad leg to another if necessary due to unexpected
technological problems or operational vulnerabilities.

The Trump  Administration, in the 2018 Nuclear Posture
Review, also reaffirmed the U.S. commitment to the
nuclear triad and to the modernization programs for each of
the components of that force structure. It noted that the
triad's synergy and overlapping attributes help ensure the
enduring survivability of our deterrence capabilities against
attack and our capacity to hold a range of adversary targets
at risk throughout a crisis or conflict. Eliminating any leg of
the triad would greatly ease adversary attack planning and
allow an adversary to concentrate resources and attention
on defeating the remaining two legs.

Current Forces and Modernization Plans
The United States is currently recapitalizing each leg of its
nuclear triad and refurbishing many of the warheads carried
by those systems.

ICBMs
Until recently, the United States deployed 450 Minuteman
III ICBMs at three Air Force bases: F.E. Warren AFB in
Wyoming,  Malmstrom   AFB  in Montana, and Minot AFB in
North Dakota. Under the New START   Treaty, the number
has declined to 400 deployed missiles, although the Air
Force will retain all 450 silo launchers. While each
Minuteman  III missile originally carried three warheads,
each now carries a single warhead, both to reduce U.S.
forces to New START  levels and to adopt what is
considered a more stabilizing posture.

Over the past 15 years, the Air Force pursued several
programs designed to improve the accuracy and reliability
of the Minuteman fleet and to, according to the Air Force,
support the operational capability of the Minuteman ICBM
through 2030. In addition, the Air Force is pursuing the
Ground-based  Strategic Deterrent (GBSD) which will retain
silo-based ICBMs but replace the entire flight system and


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