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             Congressional Research Service
             Infrmring the legislitive debate since 1914



Venezuela: Political Crisis and U.S. Policy


Venezuela remains under the rule of authoritarian President
Nicolas Maduro (2013-present), despite an array of
sanctions and international support for an interim
government  from 2019 to 2022. Within Venezuela, the
Unity Platform of opposition has adjusted its strategy,
deciding to compete in presidential elections due in 2024,
dissolve the interim government led by Juan Guaid6, and
negotiate with the Maduro government. In November 2022,
the Biden Administration offered limited sanctions relief to
the Maduro government  if those negotiations produced
meaningful progress toward elections. With negotiations
stalled and leading candidates banned from participating in
the 2024 elections, Congress may consider how to shape
U.S. policy responses to developments in Venezuela.

Political Situation
Venezuela, which Freedom  House ranked partly free
under President Hugo Chivez (1999-2013), has deteriorated
to not free under Nicolhs Maduro. Maduro has used
security forces, buoyed by corrupt courts, to quash dissent.
His government has rewarded allies, particularly in the
security forces, by allowing them to earn income from
illegal gold mining, drug trafficking, and other illicit
activities. Those forces have detained and abused Maduro's
opponents, including military officers, politicians, and civic
leaders. As of August 2023, the government had imprisoned
282 political prisoners, according to Venezuelan human
rights group Foro Penal. The Office of the U.N. High
Commissioner  for Human Rights has documented, and the
International Criminal Court is investigating, extrajudicial
killings and other crimes reportedly committed by
Venezuela's security forces.
The Venezuelan  opposition has been weak and divided,
with many of its leaders in exile. Guaid6 challenged
Maduro's  authority in 2019, but his support faded by 2021.
In April 2021, opposition parties and civil society formed
the Unity Platform. In November 2022, the Unity Platform
announced  the resumption of Norway-mediated talks with
Maduro  officials; the talks had been suspended since
October 2021. The two sides announced an agreement to
establish a U.N.-administered fund for humanitarian
programs supported by Venezuelan assets frozen abroad.
Technical and legal challenges have delayed the fund's
creation. Since November, Maduro has been unwilling to
allow negotiations to advance. In June 2023, Venezuela's
then-comptroller barred opposition contender Maria Corina
Machado  from holding office for 15 years. The National
Electoral Commission has been reconstituted with mostly
Maduro  loyalists, two of whom are subject to U.S.
sanctions. Despite these obstacles, Machado and 13 other
candidates are scheduled to compete in a primary election
scheduled for October 22, 2023, to select one candidate to
stand against Maduro in 2024.


Updated September  1, 2023


Economic   and  Humanitarian   Crisis
By most accounts, Maduro's government has mismanaged
the economy and engaged in massive corruption,
exacerbating the effects of a decline in oil production.
Between  2014 and 2021, Venezuela's economy contracted
by 80%, according to estimates by the International
Monetary  Fund. According to a February 2021 Government
Accountability Office report, sanctions imposed by the
United States in response to Maduro's authoritarian actions,
particularly sanctions targeting Venezuela's oil industry,
contributed to the economic crisis. Since 2021,
hyperinflation has somewhat abated and poverty has
declined. According to the National Survey of Living
Conditions, conducted by a Venezuelan university, roughly
50%  of the population lived in poverty in 2022 (down from
65%  in 2021). Income inequality has increased
significantly, particularly after the government eased
restrictions on access to dollars. Since that time, the income
gap between those with and without access to dollars has
widened sharply.
In 2023, an estimated 7 million Venezuelans require
humanitarian assistance, according to the United Nations.
Food insecurity remains a challenge, mainly due to the
excessive dollar-denominated price of food. Many
households lack reliable access to potable water, and
interruptions in electrical service and gas supplies are
common.  With a collapsed health system, overall health
indicators, particularly infant and maternal mortality rates,
remain poor. Previously eradicated diseases such as
diphtheria and measles also have become a major concern.
As of June 2023, U.N. agencies estimated that more than
7.3 million Venezuelans had left the country (with 26.9
million remaining). Some 6.1 million of these migrants fled
to other Latin American and Caribbean countries, and a
record 187,700 arrived at the U.S. border in FY2022.
Migrants have faced obstacles keeping jobs and accessing
health care; they are vulnerable to human trafficking and
other abuses. In 2021, Colombia and Peru began granting
temporary protected status to Venezuelans.

International  Response
The international community, once divided on policies
toward Venezuela, supports Maduro-opposition
negotiations.
In 2019, the United States, European Union (EU), Canada,
and most Western Hemisphere  countries recognized Guaid6
as interim President and exerted economic and diplomatic
pressure on Maduro to leave office. Other countries,
including China, Russia, Cuba, Turkey, and Iran supported
the Maduro government. Russia has supported the oil
industry in Venezuela, helped Venezuela skirt U.S.
sanctions, and sent military personnel and equipment to the
country. China has continued to purchase Venezuelan oil

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