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handle is hein.crs/govejfd0001 and id is 1 raw text is: Congressional                                                    ____
~ Research Service
Brazil's October 2022 Presidential Election
Updated October 25, 2022
Brazil, the world's sixth-most-populous country and 12th-largest economy, is to hold a presidential runoff
election on October 30, 2022. In the lead-up to the vote, some Members of Congress have expressed
concerns that Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro may be attempting to undermine the election's
legitimacy and have introduced legislative measures to support Brazilian democracy. In addition to
considering potential legislation, Congress may monitor the Biden Administration's approach to the
election and assess the potential implications of the election for U.S-Brazilian relations.
First-Round Results and Context
In the first-round presidential election, held on October 2, 2022, former President Luiz Inicio Lula da
Silva (Lula, 2003-2010) of the center-left Workers' Party (PT) won 48.4% of the vote but fell short of the
absolute majority needed to avoid a runoff against President Bolsonaro, who obtained 43.2% of the vote.
Two other candidates from center-right and center-left parties, who received a combined 7.2% of the vote,
have endorsed Lula for the second round. According to an average of polls conducted through October 24,
2022, Lula is leading Bolsonaro 47.5% to 45.0%.
The presidential campaign represents a political comeback for Lula, who was convicted on corruption
charges in 2017 and imprisoned for nearly two years. He was cleared to run for office again in 2021, after
the Brazilian supreme court annulled those convictions and ruled that the judge presiding over the case for
which Lula had been imprisoned acted with bias. Lula has campaigned on his economic record,
reminding voters of the improvements in living standards that occurred during his eight years in office.
He also has sought to broaden his coalition by reaching out to centrist and conservative voters.
Nevertheless, anti-PT sentiment remains widespread in Brazil, particularly among evangelicals and those
who associate Lula's party with corruption scandals and Brazil's deep 2014-2016 recession.
Bolsonaro, a former right-wing legislator and retired army captain, was elected in 2018 after a period of
economic and political turmoil that discredited much of Brazil's political leadership. Bolsonaro has
governed in a populist manner that has kept his base politically engaged but alienated potential allies
within the conservative-leaning congress. Bolsonaro's approach also has stressed Brazil's democratic
institutions and appears to have hindered the country's response to the Coronavirus Disease 2019
(COVID-19) pandemic, which has killed more than 687,000 Brazilians.
In an attempt to expand his support base prior to the election, Bolsonaro joined the center-right Liberal
Party and forged a coalition with two other large, patronage-based parties. He also worked with the
Congressional Research Service
https://crsreports. congress.gov
IN12022
CRS INSIGHT
Prepared for Members and
Committees of Congress

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