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Updated July 28, 2022

South Sudan
Peace has been elusive in South Sudan, which became the
world's newest country in 2011. The civil war that erupted
there in late 2013 featured widespread sexual violence,
mass killings, and other atrocities. It displaced over a third
of the population, creating what is still Africa's largest
refugee crisis. More than 2 million people who fled to
neighboring countries remain refugees. Another 2 million
are displaced internally. By one study, nearly 400,000 died
as a result of the war before the latest peace deal was signed
in 2018. The ongoing crisis has prompted congressional
action, including, most recently, S.Res. 473 and S.Res. 380.
Whether the peace deal ended the war is debated. A cease-
fire between the main signatories has largely held, but gains
under the agreement are tenuous, and an insurgency in the
southern Equatoria region continues. Communal violence,
often tied to national political rivalries, has surged. The
protracted humanitarian crisis is worsening: over two-thirds
of the population-almost 9 million people, half of them
children-are estimated to need aid. Facing multiple shocks
and recurrent violence, much of the population have
exhausted local coping mechanisms. Facing competing
donor funding priorities and rising costs, aid agencies have
had to reduce food aid, despite unprecedented need.
The International Crisis Group says the country is failing,
and warns that conflict will continue until its leaders agree
to broaden the peace deal and devolve power more widely.
UN experts assess that rather than breaking the violent
cycle of elite political bargaining, the deal has become part
of it. South Sudan is at a tipping point, UN human rights
monitors caution. Elections have not been held since
independence, and plans for polls in 2023 risk fueling
polarization. South Sudan ranks at the bottom of Freedom
House's Global Freedom index, and there is little space for
dissent. Security forces have mutilated, tortured, beat, and
harassed political opponents, journalists, and human rights
workers, per the State Department, and killed government
critics in politically motivated reprisals. The top UN official
in South Sudan told the UN Security Council in June that
the window for meeting key benchmarks in the transitional
period-scheduled to end in February 2023-is closing.
The UN Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS), currently the
world's largest UN peacekeeping mission, remains focused
on protecting civilians, facilitating aid delivery, monitoring
abuses, and supporting implementation of the peace deal.
Background and Context
South Sudan's independence followed a vote for secession,
after almost 40 years of rebellion against Sudan's
government. That war inhibited the development of basic
infrastructure, human capital, and formal institutions in the
south. Humanitarian needs persisted after independence,
despite rich natural resources, including oil fields that once
generated 75% of Sudan's oil production. South Sudan's
leaders, former rebels, had little experience in governing,
and corruption slowed post-war recovery and development.

Source: CKS map. Facts trom CIA and IMl reference databases.
South Sudan's subsequent conflict reflected tensions among
leaders and ethnic groups that date back to Sudan's civil
war. While that conflict is often described as a north-south
struggle, infighting among southern rebel commanders in
the 1990s nearly derailed the south's self-determination bid.
Leaders in the Sudan People's Liberation Movement/Army
(SPLM/ SPLA) competing for power mobilized supporters
along ethnic lines. All sides committed atrocities. Sudan's
government fueled SPLM divisions by financing breakaway
factions. The factions reconciled in the early 2000s, before
the government and SPLM signed the Comprehensive
Peace Agreement (CPA) in 2005.
After the CPA, the SPLM became the south's ruling party.
With SPLM leader John Garang's death just months after
the CPA signing, the south lost its leading advocate for a
united Sudan, and in 2011 over 98% of southern Sudanese
voted to secede. The new country was awash in small arms,
and local ethnic violence became increasingly politicized.
Maneuvering ahead of elections planned for 2015 added to
these dynamics. Work on a new constitution stalled, and a
2013 cabinet reshuffle, in which President Salva Kiir
dismissed his vice president, Riek Machar, formalized a
major fissure in the SPLM. Tensions rose as Machar and
others accused Kiir of becoming increasingly dictatorial
and erupted in December 2013, as the party convened to
vote on whether Kiir would be their presidential candidate.
The CMi War
The political dispute that triggered the crisis in late 2013
was not based on ethnic identity, but it overlapped with
existing ethnic and political grievances, spurring targeted
ethnic killings and clashes in the capital, and then beyond.
What began as a fight among the presidential guard
ultimately split the military, largely along ethnic lines. Kiir
accused Machar of attempting a coup. Hundreds died in
attacks reportedly targeting Machar's Nuer ethnic group in
Juba; and revenge attacks against Kiir's Dinka followed.
Machar and several senior Nuer military commanders
subsequently declared a rebellion. The ensuing war pitted
government forces and ethnic militia loyal to Kiir against
those aligned with Machar. Uganda provided initial military
support to the government and facilitated its arms imports.

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