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Updated December 8, 2021

Venezuela: Political Crisis and U.S. Policy

Venezuela, under the authoritarian rule of Nicolas Maduro,
remains in a deep economic and humanitarian crisis
worsened by the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
pandemic. Maduro has consolidated power over all of
Venezuela's institutions since claiming victory in the 2013
election following the death of President Hugo Chavez
(1999-2013). His United Socialist Party of Venezuela
(PSUV) took control of the National Assembly, the last
independent branch of government, in January 2021. The
PSUV and its allies won 19 of 23 gubernatorial elections in
flawed elections held in November.
Maduro has quashed dissent and resisted international
pressure to step down since his reelection in a May 2018
presidential vote widely condemned as fraudulent. In the
meantime, support for opposition leader Juan Guaid6, the
former National Assembly president once regarded as
interim president by the United States and nearly 60 other
countries, has dissipated. The Biden Administration and
Congress continue to recognize the interim government led
by Guaid6, in part to prevent Venezuelan assets abroad
from coming under Maduro's control.
Political Situation
Maduro has used security forces, buoyed by corrupt courts,
to quash dissent. His government has rewarded allies,
particularly in the security forces, with income earned from
illegal gold mining, drug trafficking, and other illicit
activities. Those forces have detained and abused Maduro's
opponents, including military officers, opposition
politicians, and civic leaders. As of November 29, 2021, the
government held 251 political prisoners, according to Foro
Penal, a Venezuelan human rights group. The U.N. Office
of the High Commissioner for Human Rights has
documented thousands of extrajudicial killings and other
abuses by security forces. In November, the International
Criminal Court opened an investigation into crimes against
humanity in Venezuela.
The Venezuelan opposition has been weak and divided,
with many of its leaders in exile. Guaid6 challenged
Maduro's authority in 2019; his support has since faded.
After Norway-led negotiations stalled in mid-2019, the
Maduro government persecuted Guaid6's supporters.
In April 2021, Guaid6 called on opposition parties, labor
and civic groups, and business leaders to form a Unity
Platform to negotiate with Maduro officials. The Unity
Platform seeks better human rights, humanitarian, and
electoral conditions; Maduro's team seeks sanctions relief
and international recognition. Mediated by Norway, the
negotiations began in Mexico in September, but Maduro
suspended them after the United States extradited a top ally,
Alex Saab, from Cape Verde to stand trial for money
laundering. Should the talks resume, the opposition may be

in a weaker position than before, since rifts within the
opposition hurt its performance in the November elections.
In those elections, corrupt courts disqualified an opposition
candidate who was on the verge of becoming governor of
the state of Barinas.
Economic and Humanitarian Crisis
By most accounts, Maduro's government has mismanaged
the economy and engaged in massive corruption,
exacerbating the effects of a decline in oil prices and
production on the country's economy. The International
Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates that Venezuela's economy
contracted by 74% from 2014 to 2020 and forecasts a 5%
contraction for 2021.
Shortages in food and medicine, declines in purchasing
power, and a collapse of social services have created a
humanitarian crisis. According to a May 2021 survey by a
group of Venezuelan universities, the National Survey of
Living Conditions (ENCOVI), 94% of Venezuelans live in
poverty, with 77% in extreme poverty, and 60% have
moderate to severe food insecurity. In April 2021, the
Maduro government allowed the World Food Program to
launch a school lunch program; it aims to reach 1.5 million
children. Health indicators, particularly infant and maternal
mortality rates, have worsened. Previously eradicated
diseases such as diphtheria and measles have returned.
According to data from Johns Hopkins University (JHU),
Venezuela reported 5,193 deaths from COVID-19 (as of
December 6, 2021), but experts maintain the actual number
is much higher. The pandemic has strained Venezuela's
hollowed-out health system. According to JHU, 34.6% of
Venezuelans were fully vaccinated as of December 6.
Venezuela has used Russian and Cuban vaccines and has
received Chinese vaccines both bilaterally and through the
COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access (COVAX) Facility.
As of November 2021, U.N. agencies estimated 6 million
Venezuelans had left the country (with 27 million
remaining). Some 4.9 million migrants fled to other Latin
American and Caribbean countries. Migrants have faced
obstacles keeping jobs and accessing health care during the
pandemic; they are vulnerable to human trafficking and
other abuses. In 2021, Colombia and Peru began granting
temporary protective status to Venezuelan migrants.
International Response
The international community is divided on policies toward
Venezuela, potentially hindering the effectiveness of efforts
to restore democratic processes. The United States has
encouraged other countries to sanction Maduro officials,
hold the Maduro government responsible for human rights
violations, and provide humanitarian aid to Venezuelans.
The United States, European Union (EU), Canada, and 11

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