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Updated April 1, 2022

Venezuela: Political Crisis and U.S. Policy

Venezuela, under the authoritarian rule of Nicolas Maduro,
remains in a deep economic and humanitarian crisis
worsened by the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
pandemic. Maduro has consolidated power over all of
Venezuela's institutions since his 2013 election after the
death of President Hugo Chavez (1999-2013). Maduro's
United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) took control of
the National Assembly, the last independent branch of
government, in January 2021. The PSUV and allies won 19
of 23 gubernatorial elections in flawed November elections.
Maduro has quashed dissent and resisted international
pressure to step down since his reelection in a 2018
presidential vote that was widely condemned as fraudulent.
Support for opposition leader Juan Guaid6, the former
National Assembly president once regarded as interim
president by nearly 60 other countries, has dissipated,
although the Biden Administration continues to recognize
Guaid6's government, partially to prevent Venezuelan
assets abroad from coming under Maduro's control.
Administration officials nevertheless met with Maduro in
early March 2022, reportedly to discuss U.S. citizens
illegally detained in Venezuela, restarting stalled
negotiations with the opposition, and energy issues.
Political Situation
Maduro has used security forces, buoyed by corrupt courts,
to quash dissent. His government has rewarded allies,
particularly in the security forces, by allowing them to earn
income from illegal gold mining, drug trafficking, and other
illicit activities. Those forces have detained and abused
Maduro's opponents, including military officers, opposition
politicians, and civic leaders. As of March 2022, the
government had imprisoned 241 political prisoners,
according to Foro Penal, a Venezuelan human rights group.
The U.N. Office of the High Commissioner for Human
Rights has documented, and the International Criminal
Court is investigating, extrajudicial killings and other
crimes against humanity committed by Venezuela's
security forces.
The Venezuelan opposition has been weak and divided,
with many of its leaders in exile. Guaid6 challenged
Maduro's authority in 2019, but Guaid6's support has since
faded. After Norway-led negotiations stalled in mid-2019,
the Maduro government persecuted Guaid6's supporters.
In April 2021, Guaid6 called on opposition parties, labor
and civic groups, and business leaders to form a Unity
Platform to negotiate with Maduro officials. The Unity
Platform seeks better human rights, humanitarian, and
electoral conditions; Maduro's team seeks sanctions relief
and international recognition. Mediated by Norway, the
negotiations began in Mexico in September 2021, but
Maduro suspended them after the United States extradited a

top ally, Alex Saab, from Cape Verde to stand trial for
money laundering. After the meeting with U.S. officials,
Maduro released two unjustly imprisoned Americans and
pledged to restart negotiations with the opposition. Even if
negotiations restart, it is unclear whether Maduro will make
significant concessions without U.S. sanctions relief.
Economic and Humanitarian Crisis
By most accounts, Maduro's government has mismanaged
the economy and engaged in massive corruption,
exacerbating the effects of a decline in oil prices and
production. The International Monetary Fund estimates the
economy contracted by 74% from 2014 to 2020 and by 5%
in 2021. Hyperinflation has abated, and higher oil prices
appear to be driving a nascent economic recovery.
Despite that progress, shortages in food and medicine,
declines in purchasing power, and a collapse of social
services have created a humanitarian crisis. According to
the National Survey of Living Conditions (ENCOVI), a
May 2021 survey by a group of Venezuelan universities,
94% of Venezuelans live in poverty, with 77% in extreme
poverty, and 60% experience moderate to severe food
insecurity. In April 2021, the Maduro government allowed
the World Food Program to launch a school lunch program.
Health indicators, particularly infant and maternal mortality
rates, have worsened. Violent clashes between illegally
armed groups along the Venezuela-Colombia border have
complicated humanitarian relief efforts in that region.
According to data from Johns Hopkins University (JHU),
Venezuela reported 5,679 deaths from COVID-19 (as of
March 28, 2022), but experts maintain the actual number is
much higher. The pandemic has strained Venezuela's
hollowed-out health system. According to JHU, 50.1% of
Venezuelans were fully vaccinated as of March 28.
Venezuela has used Russian and Cuban vaccines and has
received Chinese vaccines both bilaterally and through the
COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access (COVAX) Facility.
As of February 2022, U.N. agencies estimated 6.1 million
Venezuelans had left the country (with 26.9 million
remaining). Some 5 million of these migrants fled to other
Latin American and Caribbean countries. Migrants have
faced obstacles keeping jobs and accessing health care
during the pandemic; they are vulnerable to human
trafficking and other abuses. In 2021, Colombia and Peru
began granting temporary protected status to Venezuelans.
International Response
The international community is divided on policies toward
Venezuela, hindering the effectiveness of efforts to restore
democratic processes. The United States has encouraged
other countries to sanction Maduro officials, hold the
Maduro government responsible for human rights abuses,

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