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Libya and U.S. Policy

Ten years after the start of a 2011 uprising that toppled
longtime authoritarian leader Muammar al Qadhafi, Libya
has yet to make a transition to stable governing
arrangements. Elections and diplomacyhave produced a
series of interimgovernments (Figure 1),butmilitias, local
leaders, and coalitions ofnationalfigures backed by
competing foreignpatrons have remained the most
powerful arbiters of public affairs.
Conflict re-erupted in Libya in April2019, when a coalition
of armed groups led by Qadhafi-era military defector
Khalifa Haftar known as the Liby anNational Army
movement (LNA, in Arabic: Libyan Arab Armed Forces,
LAAF) leveraged support fromRus sia, the United Arab
Emirates (UAE), and Egypt to attempt to seize the capital,
Tripoli, from an interim Government of National Accord
(GNA) and localmilitias. With Turkish military support,
the GNA and western Libyan militias forced the LNA to
withdraw. Libya has remained divided since, with foreign
forces remaining present and the main opposing coalitions
separatedby a line ofcontrol west of Sirte (Figure 1).
During 2020, multilateral diplomatic initiatives helped
achieve a ceasefire, and in April2021, the United Nations
(U.N.) Security Council endorsed plans to deploy civilian
ceasefire monitoring personnel at Libyans' request.
Delegates to a U.N.-convened Libyan Political Dialogue
Forum(LPDF) and members of Libya's House of
Representatives (HOR, interim parliament last elected in
2014) have approved an interimexecutive authority and
interim Government of National Unity (GNU). The U.N.
Support Missionin Libya (UNSMIL) is facilitating
discussions among LPDF members, the HOR, and the High
CouncilofState (HCS, an advisory representativebody) to
establish a constitutionalbasis andlaw forparliamentary
and presidential elections planned for December 24, 2021
(the seventieth anniversary of Liby an independence). U.S.
officials continueto callfor an end to foreign interference
in Libya and forholding the elections as scheduled.
U.N. Endorses Ceasefire Monitoring
In October 2020, U.N.-backed talks among members of a
Joint Military Commission (JMC, or5+5 because ofits
equal make-up of GNA/LNA delegates) established a
temporary ceasefire. The agreement called for the departure
of mercenaries andforeignfighters along with the
suspension of foreign training and the departure of trainers.
The ceasefire has held through May 2021, although foreign
forces havenotdeparted. In April2021, the U.N. Security
Council endorsed Resolution 2570, approvingthe scalable
and incrementaldeployment ofceasefire monitors and
strongly urging member states torespect and support the
full implementation of the ceasefire agreement, including
through the withdrawal of all foreign forces and
mercenaries fromLibya without delay. U.N. officials plan
initially to deploy five unarmed monitors to Tripoli.

On May 21, UNSMIL head Jin Kubis said, progress on
key issues suchas the reopeningofthe coastalroad
between Sirte and Misrata and the start of the withdrawalof
foreign mercenaries, fighters and foreign forces has stalled.
...UNSMIL continues to receive reports of setting up of
fortifications and defensive positions along the Sirte-Jufra
axis and South Libya, air force training activities, cargoes
of arms and military supplies into West, East, and South
Libyan military bases; as well as the continuing presenceof
foreign elements, mercenaries and assets, thus entrenching
the division of Libya.

Figure I. Libya: Areas of Influence

2011 Uprising topples Muammar al Qadhafi.
2012 Parliamentary elections. Transitional cabinet seated.
2014 Constitutional referendum and parliamentary elections.
Disputed results fuel conflict. U.S. diplomats depart.
2015 International mediation yields agreement to form
Government of National Accord (GNA).
2016 Parliament withholds endorsement of GNA Islamic
State forces defeated in Sirte with U.S. military support.
2018 Libyan National Army consolidates control in east Libya.
2019 Libyan National Army launches offensive against Tripoli.
2020 U.N. supports ceasefire negotiations, selects Libyan
Political Dialogue Forum (LPDF) members. LPDF agrees
to roadmap, plans December 2021 elections.
2021 LPDF selects Interim Executive Authority members.
HOR approves interim Government of National Unity
cabinet. U.N. Security Council endorses ceasefire
monitoring and datefor December 2021 election.
Source: Prepared by CRS usingmedia and social media reporting.

https://crs reports.congress.goo

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