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April 14, 2021


Trends and Proposals for Corporate Tax Revenue


Since the mid-1960s, U.S. corporate taxrevenues have
declined, relative to the size of the economy. Corporate tax
revenue as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP),
which was 3.9% in 1965, has fallen to approximately 1.0%
in 2020. The decline in corporate taxrevenue since 1965 is
due to several factors. Averagetaxrates have declined,
primarily due to reductions in the statutory rate and changes
in depreciation. The corporate taxbasehas also been
reduced through declining profitability (return on assets),
increaseduse ofthe pass-through organizational formfor
businesses, and internationalprofit shifting.

While U.S. corporate taxrevenue has decreased, corporate
taxrevenue in other Organisation for Economic Co-
operation and Development (OECD) member  countries has,
on average, increased. Since 1965, average corporate tax
revenue collectedby OECD countries has increased from
2.1% of GDP  to 3.1% of GDP in 2018 (see Figure 1).
OECD   data indicate that U.S. corporate taxrevenue
(including corporate taxrevenue collected by state andlocal
governments) fell from 3.9% to 1.0% during the same time.

Figure 1. Corporate Tax Revenue,  as a Percentage of
GDP,  1965-2018

   4.5

   35


   2s
   0.5

   0

                   United States namOECD Average

Source: OECD Tax on Corporate Profits, https://data.oecd.org/tax/
tax-on-corporate-profits.htm, downloaded March 31,2021.
Note: Tax on corporate profits includestaxes levied byall levels of
govern ment.

Figure 1 also shows that the United States collected 1.8
times as much corporate taxrevenue comparedto the
OECD   average in 1965. Since 1981, however, U.S.
corporate taxrevenue as a percentage ofGDP has beenles s
than the OECD average (which includes the United States).
In 2018, OECD  average corporate taxrevenue as a
percentage of GDP was 3.1 times U.S. corporate tax
revenue as a percentage of GDP.

Corporate Tax Proposals
President Biden's Made in America taxplan framework
seeks to increase the amountofrevenueraisedby the


corporatetaxsystem. Severallegislative proposals in the
117th Congress would affect corporate taxes. A number of
proposals would likely increase corporate taxrevenues, in
most cases by altering the internationaltaxstructure.

Raising the Corporate   Tax Rate
The corporate taxrate is currently 21%, levied as a flat rate,
reduced froma top marginalrate of 35% before 2018 by the
2017 tax law commonly known  as the TaxCuts and Jobs
Act (TCJA; P.L. 115-97). President Biden has proposed
that the corporate taxrate be increased to 28%. Senator
Sanders has proposed (S. 991) a graduated corporate rate
with most corporate income taxed at 35%. The
CongressionalBudget Office (CBO) estimates that raising
the corporate taxrate by one percentage point would raise
$99 billion overFY2021-FY2030, implying an increase of
around $1.4 trillion for S. 991 and $700 billion for the
Biden Administration proposal. President Biden has also
proposed an alternative minimumtax basedon financial or
book income. Estimates provided by the Administration
suggest these changes could raisemore than $2 trillion over
15 years.

Increasing  the Minimum   Tax  on Foreign Source
Income   (G ILTI)
Severalbills, including S.20 (Klobuchar), S.714
(Whitehouse), H.R. 1785 (Doggett), and S.991 (Sanders)
would increasethe minimumtaxon  foreign source income,
known  as the taxon Global Intangible Low Taxed Income,
or GILTI, enacted in 2017. (See CRS Report R45186,
Issues in International Corporate Taxation: The 2017
Revision (P.L.115-97), by Jane G. Gravelle and Donald J.
Marples for a discussion ofinternationaltaxrules.) Under
current law, GILTI targets intangible income that is easily
shifted by allowing a deemed deduction equal to 10% of
tangible assets. Any remaining income is allowed a
deduction of 50% (37.5% after 2025) and then taxed at
21%.

The U.S. internationaltaxsystemallows for credits for
foreign taxes paid. Credits are limited to U.S. taxes due on
foreign-source income, butimposed on an overallbasis
across countries. This allows for cross-crediting, orthe
use of credited taxes paid in high-taxcountries to offset
U.S. income tax due in low-tax countries. For GILTI, the
credit is limited to up to 80% of foreign taxes are paid.

A proposalby the Biden Administration andin four bills in
the 117th Congress-S.20, S. 714, H.R 1785, and S. 991-
would make  GILTI fully taxable by eliminating the
deduction for tangible investment and eliminating the 50%
deduction. Allbut S.991 would impose a21% rate (the
current-law rate); S.991 would impose a rate of 35%.


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