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Congressional Research Service


Updated February  12, 2021


Libya and U.S. Policy


Libyans Reach Truce, Look to Elections
Ten years after a 2011 uprising toppled longtime
authoritarian leader Muammar al Qadhafi, Libya has yet to
make  a transition to stable governing arrangements.
Militias, local leaders, and coalitions of national figures
backed by competing foreign patrons have remained the
most powerful arbiters of public affairs.
Conflict re-erupted in Libya in April 2019, when a coalition
of armed groups led by Qadhafi-era military defector
Khalifa Haftar known as the Libyan National Army
movement   (LNA, in Arabic: Libyan Arab Armed Forces,
LAAF)   leveraged support from Russia, the United Arab
Emirates, and Egypt to attempt to seize the capital, Tripoli,
from the interim Government of National Accord (GNA)
and local militias. With Turkish military support, the GNA
and western Libyan militias forced the LNA to withdraw.
Libya has remained divided since, with opposing forces
separated by a line of control west of Sirte (Figure 1).
From  April 2019 through December 2020, fighting between
LNA  forces, GNA  supporters, and anti-LNA militias killed
more than 500 civilians and displaced more than 200,000
people according to United Nations (U.N.) estimates. U.S.
and U.N. officials have condemned persistent weapons
shipments to Libya as violations of the U.N. arms embargo.
Since 2020, new multilateral diplomatic initiatives have
sought to achieve a ceasefire among warring Libyan
groups, reduce foreign interference, and relaunch political
reconciliation. Meeting in Berlin in January 2020, Libyan
rivals and foreign powers agreed to a 55-point agenda,
including the establishment of a GNA-LNA Joint Military
Commission  (JMC,  or 5+5 because of its ten members) to
consult on requirements for a ceasefire. After U.N.-backed
talks succeeded in October 2020 in establishing an interim,
90-day ceasefire, U.N. officials selected and convened a 75-
member  Libyan Political Dialogue Forum (LPDF) to restart
the country's disrupted political transition.
Meeting under U.N. auspices, LPDF  members  agreed that
Libya would hold a constitutional referendum prior to
national parliamentary and executive elections on
December  24, 2021 (the seventieth anniversary of Libyan
independence). The LPDF  also adopted rules for the
selection of an interim executive authority to govern until
the elections and oversee preparations. The Biden
Administration supports maintaining the ceasefire and has
pledged to assist in preparations for the planned elections.
Interim    Executive Authority Selected
On  February 5, members of the LPDF voted to select
members  for an interim three-person Presidential Council
and interim Prime Minister. Choosing from lists that each
drew members  from Libya's western, eastern, and southern
regions, the LPDF narrowly selected a list of less well
known  figures over a list that included serving officials.
The LPDF   chose Mohamed  Menfi  of the eastern city of


Figure  1. Libya: Areas of Influence


   Areas of Influence Feb. 2021
     LNA F'orc-es and Local Partners
   * GNA and [ NA-Opposing Forces
     Local forces;affiliation varoies
   - Select Oil Pipelines          Areas are approximate
                                   and sub ec: to ch nge
  2011 Uprising topples Muammar al Qadhafi.
  2012 Parliamentary elections. Transitional cabinet seated.
  2014 Constitutional referendum and parliamentary elections.
       Disputed results fuel conflict. U.S. diplomats depart.
  2015 International mediation yields agreement to form
       Government of National Accord (GNA).
  2016 Parliament withholds endorsement of GNA. Islamic
       State forces defeated in Sirte with U.S. military support.
  2018 Libyan National Army consolidates control in east Libya.
  2019 Libyan National Army launches offensive against Tripoli.
  2020 U.N. supports ceasefire negotiations, selects Libyan
       Political Dialogue Forum (LPDF) members. LPDF agrees
       to roadmap, plans December 2021 elections.
  2021 LPDF selects Interim Executive Authority members.
Source: Prepared by CRS using media and social media reporting.
Tobruk  to serve as chairman of the Presidential Council,
with southerner Musa Al Koni and westerner Abdullah Al
Lafi as his deputies. Misratan engineer and former Qadhafi-
era official Abdul Hamid Dabaiba was chosen as Prime
Minister-designate. Dabaiba must now propose a cabinet
for a vote of confidence by the House of Representatives
(HOR,  Libya's interim parliament, last elected in 2014).
Should HOR   members  reject Dabaiba's nominees, the
LPDF  may  reconvene to consider the cabinet nominations.
Though  many  key actors have released statements
welcoming  the LPDF's decisions, Libyan factions and their
foreign supporters appear to retain deep differences in their
preferred models for governance for the country, military
command   arrangements, resource sharing, the role of Islam


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