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Updated June 19, 2020


Diplomacy with North Korea: A Status Report


United States-North Korea diplomacy to curb North
Korea's nuclear and missile programs has been stalled since
February 2019, and observers see little chance for progress
in the coming months. In June 2020, tension increased on
the Korean Peninsula, when the Democratic People's
Republic of Korea (DPRK, North Korea's official name)
turned more belligerent, blowing up an inter-Korean liaison
office inside North Korea and threatening to interfere in
upcoming U.S. elections, among other moves.

Since President Donald Trump first agreed in March 2018
to hold a summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un to
discuss North Korea's nuclear and missile programs, the
Trump Administration has emphasized the importance of
developing a strong leader-to-leader relationship. The
strategy appears to presume better results than the working-
group negotiations employed by previous administrations.
Trump and Kim have held three meetings: in Singapore
(June 2018); Hanoi (February 2019); and Panmunjom (June
2019). The personal diplomacy defused the U.S.-DPRK
hostility that had developed in 2017, raising alarms that war
could break out on the Korean Peninsula. The diplomacy
also has helped preserve North Korea's self-imposed
moratoria on nuclear tests and intercontinental ballistic
missile tests. Despite Kim's 2018 pledge to denuclearize,
President Trump's approach to North Korea has been called
into question by the absence of progress in negotiations, the
DPRK's renewed hostility, allegations of sanctions-busting
trade, and Pyongyang's continued enhancements to its
military capabilities.

Skt-wau,- dfUSA)-PRK tatn
The February 2019 Hanoi summit ended without an
agreement due to differences over the scope and sequencing
of DPRK denuclearization measures in exchange for
sanctions relief. Since the June 2019 Panmunjom meeting,
the U.S. and North Korea have held one round of official
talks, in October 2019. U.S. officials say their North
Korean counterparts have refused to engage in additional
negotiations. The two countries have not agreed on
denuclearization steps, whether an agreement will include
DPRK missiles, or the mechanisms for verifying any
agreement, including inspection and monitoring
arrangements. Meanwhile, China, Russia, and, to a lesser
extent, South Korea have called for a relaxation of
sanctions on North Korea, including Beijing and Moscow's
December 2019 proposal to lift several categories of U.N.
sanctions. The Trump Administration rejected the proposals
as premature.

In late December 2019, Kim announced there is no
ground for North Korea to continue to maintain its nuclear
and long-range missile testing moratoria. Kim criticized the
United States' continuation of sanctions, joint military
exercises with South Korea, and shipments of advanced


military equipment to South Korea. Kim warned the world
will witness a new strategic weapon to be possessed by the
DPRK in the near future. In 2019, the Director of National
Intelligence told Congress North Korea is unlikely to give
up all of its nuclear weapons and production capabilities,
even as it seeks to negotiate partial denuclearization steps to
obtain key US and international concessions.

If talks restart, U.S. negotiators and Members of Congress
conducting oversight-could face the question of whether
to aim for incremental dismantlement of North Korea's
nuclear program in step with gradual sanctions relief, or to
try for a big deal and demand that complete
denuclearization precede full sanctions relief. A related
question is whether the United States would accept partial
denuclearization as an outcome of talks. The possibility of
full sanctions relief is complicated by, among other factors,
U.S. sanctions on North Korea for human rights abuses,
money laundering, illicit weapons trade, international
terrorism, and illicit cyber operations.



No~rthi Kos     N uc~ekr knrd Ws'
 Kim in 2018 publicly agreed to work toward complete
   denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, pledging
   permanent dismantlement of nuclear facilities in
   Yongbyon    an important nuclear site as the United
   States takes corresponding measures. He partially
   dismantled North Korea's Sohae missile and satellite
   launch site, and agreed to fully dismantle the site if a
   deal was reached. He also dynamited the entrances to
   two nuclear test tunnels at Punggye-ri in May 2018 and
   said inspectors would be allowed to confirm the test
   site's dismantlement. As U.S.-DPRK talks stalled, these
   promises have gone unfulfilled.
* North Korea has not tested a nuclear weapon or test-
   launched intercontinental ballistic missiles since
   November 2017, notwithstanding Kim's December
   2019 warning that the moratoria no longer holds.
* Since May 2019, North Korea has conducted over a
   dozen multiple short-range ballistic missile (SRBM)
   tests, in violation of United Nations (U.N.) prohibitions,
   likely advancing the reliability and precision of its
   missile forces and improving its capabilities to defeat
   regional missile defense systems. Trump has said he has
   no problem with North Korea's multiple short-range
   ballistic missile tests.



* North Korea and China have restored close diplomatic
   relations. The relationship had been strained since Kim
   became leader in 2011.

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