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                                                                                       Updated November   30, 2020

Defense Primer: Emerging Technologies

Both the 2018 National Defense Strategy and senior U.S.   Defense's (DOD's)  Chief Information Officer. In addition,
defense and intelligence officials have identified a number the FY2019 National Defense Authorization Act (P.L. 115-
of emerging technologies that could have a disruptive  232, §1051) established   a National Security Commission on
impact on U.S. national security in the years to come. These  Artificial Intelligence to assess U.S. competitiveness in Al
technologies include                                       and offer recommendations to Congress.
*  artificial intelligence,                                 ethas Astsno       s Weapons
*  lethal autonomous weapons,                             Lethal Autonomous  Weapon  Systems  (LAWS)  are a class
                                                          of weapon  systems capable of independently identifying a
*  hypersonic weapons,                                    target and employing an onboard weapon system to engage
*  directed-energy weapons,                                and destroy the target without manual human control.
                                                          LAWS   require computer algorithms and sensor suites to
*  biotechnology, and                                     classify an object as hostile, make an engagement decision,
*  quantum  technology.                                    and guide a weapon to the target. This capability would
                                                          enable the system to operate in communications-degraded
As these technologies continue to mature, they could hold or -denied environments where traditional systems may not
significant implications for congressional oversight, U.S. be able to operate.
defense authorizations and appropriations, military concepts
of operations, and the future of war.                     LAWS are   not yet in widespread development, and some
                                                           senior military and defense leaders have expressed concerns
                                                           about the ethics of ever fielding such systems. For example,
Although there is no official U.S. government definition of in 2017 testimony before the Senate Armed Services
artificial intelligence (AI), Al generally refers to a computer Committee, then-Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
system capable of human-level cognition. Al is currently  General Paul Selva stated, I do not think it is reasonable
being incorporated into a number of military applications, for us to put robots in charge of whether or not we take a
including intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance; human  life. Currently, there are no domestic or
logistics; cyber operations; command and control; and  international   legal prohibitions on the development of
semi-autonomous  and autonomous vehicles. As it develops, LAWS;   however, an international group of government
Al could enable new concepts of operations, such as   experts has begun to discuss   the issue. Approximately 30
swarming  (i.e., cooperative behavior in which uninhabited countries have called for a preemptive ban on the systems
vehicles autonomously coordinate to achieve a task), that due to ethical considerations, while others have called for
could present both challenges and opportunities for the U.S.  formal regulation or guidelines for development and use.
military.                                                 DOD   Directive 3000.09 establishes department guidelines
                                                          for the development and fielding of LAWS to ensure that
Recent news reports and analyses have highlighted the role they comply with the law of war, applicable treaties,
of Al in enabling increasingly realistic photo, audio, and weapon system safety rules, and applicable rules of
video digital forgeries, popularly known as deep fakes. engagement.
Adversaries could potentially deploy this Al capability as
part of their information operations in a gray zone   y
conflict. Deep fake technology could be used against the  Hypersonic  weapons-which   fly at speeds of at least Mach
United States and its allies to generate false news reports,  5 -are in development in a number of countries, including
influence public discourse, erode public trust, and attempt the United States. There are two categories of hypersonic
to blackmail diplomats. Some have suggested that Al could weapons:
be used to create full digital patterns-of-life, in which an
individual's digital footprint is mapped against other  * Hypersonic glide vehicles (HGV) are launched from a
personal information, such as spending habits and job    rocket before gliding   to a target. (When HGVs are
history, to create comprehensive behavioral profiles of  mated with their rocket   booster, the resulting weapon
servicemembers, suspected intelligence officers,         system is often referred   to as a hypersonic boost-glide
government  officials, and private citizens. Similar to deep  weapon.)
fakes, this information could, in turn, be used for targeted
influence operations or blackmail.                         *  Hypersonic cruise missiles (HCM)  are powered by

                                                             high-speed engines throughout the duration of their
To coordinate defense-wide AI efforts, the Pentagon     flight.
established the Joint Artificial Intelligence Center (JAIC,
pronounced jake) in June 2018 under the Department of


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