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May 20, 2020


Libya and U.S. Policy


Libya has been wracked by major conflict since April 2019,
when the Libyan National Army/Libyan Arab Armed
Forces (LNA/LAAF) movement a coalition of armed
groups led by Khalifa Haftar launched a bid to seize the
capital, Tripoli, from local militias and the internationally
recognized Government of National Accord (GNA).
Fighters in western Libya rallied to blunt the LNA's
advance, and inconclusive fighting has continued despite
multilateral demands for a ceasefire. As of May 2020, LNA
forces and local partners control much of Libya's territory
and key oil production and export infrastructure directly or
through militia allies. GNA supporters and anti-LNA
groups retain control of the capital and have seized several
areas west of Tripoli since April 2020 with Turkish military
support. Southern Libya remains marginalized and faces
threats from criminals, rival ethnic militias, and terrorists.
Conflict dynamics have shifted since April 2019 following
the introduction of Russian-national Wagner Group
contractors into LNA forces, the conclusion of Turkey-
GNA maritime and security cooperation agreements,
Turkish deployments on behalf of the GNA, and expanded
weapons shipments to both sides. According to U.S.
officials, Egypt and the United Arab Emirates arm the
LNA, and Russia aids LNA operations. Turkey overtly
provides military support to GNA forces. Both sides have
recruited Syrian militias to aid their respective war efforts.
State Department officials condemned toxic foreign
interference in March 2020, and have called for a
sovereign Libya free of foreign intervention.
Fighting between LNA forces, supporters of the GNA, and
anti-LNA militias in western Libya is estimated to have
killed more than 2,200 fighters, along with hundreds of
civilians. In the capital region, the conflict has displaced
more than 200,000 people, and U.N. officials report that
nearly 345,000 people are in frontline areas. More than
650,000 foreign migrants (largely from sub-Saharan Africa)
also are in Libya and remain especially vulnerable.
In 2020, multilateral diplomatic initiatives have sought to
achieve and sustain a ceasefire between Libyan combatants
as a precursor to restarting political reconciliation efforts.
Russia and Turkey engineered a temporary truce in January,
but did not achieve a ceasefire. Meeting in Berlin, Germany
later in January, the five permanent members of the U.N.
Security Council along with other key foreign actors jointly
committed to supporting a series of new arrangements with
a goal of durably ending the conflict. GNA and LNA
figures attended, but did not formally commit to a ceasefire.
The Security Council endorsed the Berlin commitments in
Resolution 2510. The U.N. Support Mission in Libya
(UNSMIL) then supported intra-Libyan security, political,
and economic discussions, but COVID-19 concerns and
resumed fighting have largely undermined progress.


Figure I. Libya: Areas of Influence
As of May 18, 2020


Source: Prepared by CRS using media and social media reporting.
Years of division and conflict have weakened the Libyan
health care system's ability to mitigate COVID-19-related
risks. In April, Acting UNSMIL head Stephanie Williams
said ongoing fighting was reckless and inhumane,
saying it was stretching the capacity of local authorities
and the health infrastructure that is already decimated.
U.S. and U.N. officials have condemned post-Berlin
weapons shipments to Libya as violations of the U.N. arms
embargo and called for a humanitarian ceasefire to allow
the country to combat the spread of COVID-19, which, to
date, appears to be limited. Notwithstanding a temporary
LNA ceasefire declaration for Islamic religious observances
during Ramadan, fighting continues, humanitarian access is
restricted, and parties to the conflict have shut down
national oil production, threatening state finances.


Libya's political transition has been disrupted by armed
non-state groups and threatened by the indecision and
infighting of interim leaders for years. After an armed
uprising ended the 40-plus-year rule of Muammar al
Qadhafi in 2011, interim authorities proved unable to form
a stable government, address pressing security issues,
reshape the country's public finances, or create a viable
framework for post-conflict reconciliation. Insecurity
spread as local armed groups competed for influence and


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