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July 14, 2020


Malawi: Elections, Key Issues, and U.S. Relations


On June 23, 2020, 59% of voters in Malawi, a small, poor
southeast African country, ousted incumbent President
Peter Mutharika in favor of opposition presidential
candidate Lazarus Chakwera during a rerun of a
presidential election held in May 2019. The country's High
Court ordered the rerun after annulling the 2019 vote in
early 2020, citing a raft of serious irregularities. Mutharika,
who won the 2019 election, called the decision a travesty
of justice and sought its reversal, but the Supreme Court
rejected his appeal and upheld the High Court's ruling.
Opposition parties in other African countries, analysts, and
U.S. officials have welcomed the electoral and judicial
oversight processes that produced this outcome. Such
processes, which have rarely produced analogous results in
sub-Saharan Africa, may provide insights and precedents
for other countries in the region as well as inform ongoing
U.S. efforts to support democratic strengthening and the
rule of law in Africa. In particular, they may suggest a need
to prioritize support for impartial electoral dispute
mediation and independent judicial oversight to ensure free
and fair electoral processes. The importance of such support
could grow if Malawi's example the ouster of an
incumbent president were to prompt other sitting African
leaders to endeavor to control their own countries' electoral
processes and judiciaries to preclude a similar outcome.


While campaign rhetoric and pledges during the 2019
election focused on issues important to voters, such as
corruption, job growth, small business and agricultural aid,
and infrastructure investment, the parties' policies on these
issues only differed moderately. Mutharika, of the
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), won the May 2019
presidential election, with 39% of votes, despite
vulnerabilities arising from corruption scandals linked to
officials in his government and party. Chakwera of the
Malawi Congress Party (MCP), a former ruling party, won
35% of votes, while 20% went to then-Vice President
Saulos Chilima, who had broken with Mutharika and left
the DPP to launch his own party, the United Transformation
Movement (UTM); minor candidates won the balance. In
concurrent parliamentary polls, no party won a majority;
the DPP won 62 seats, the MCP 55, independents 55, and
the United Democratic Front (UDF) 10 seats.
The pre-poll period featured some political violence, which
the United States condemned. Initial international election
observers noted campaign tensions, pro-DPP use of state
resources, and bias by state media, but otherwise positively
assessed the election process. The MCP and UTM, in
contrast, sued to annul the election, citing systematic pro-
DPP irregularities and, alongside some civil society groups,
called for Malawi Electoral Commission (MEC) chair Jane
Ansah to resign. Mutharika was sworn in on May 31, but
the matter remained in litigation for months, during which


Malawi faced many, often large election protests. Some
featured violence, perpetrated variously by protesters,
security forces, and ruling party youth. A Malawi Human
Rights Commission report alleging that police assaulted and
raped counter-protesters also raised a furor.


On February 3, 2020, the High Court, citing widespread,
systematic and grave irregularities and procedural flaws by
the MEC, unanimously annulled the 2019 presidential
election. It also urged that a new MEC be appointed and
validated Mutharika's post-May 2019 tenure, pending new
elections. In a ruling that overturned Supreme Court
precedent, the court also invalidated the entire plurality-
based presidential election system. Asserting that the
constitution requires presidents to be directly elected by a
majority of voters (as bills twice rejected by parliament
would have required), it ordered that parliament enact an
election system requiring the winner to earn 50% of votes
plus one or more additional votes.
Prior to the ruling, a DPP-linked businessman's alleged
attempt to bribe the High Court over the poll case fueled
further mass protests. In the months after the High Court's
decision, which the Supreme Court affirmed in May 2020,
there were clashes in court and in parliament over the
election date, the makeup of the MEC, and an electoral
reform bill that Mutharika refused to sign. The 2020 polling
date was not finalized until June 9, leaving little time to
prepare for the election or to enact new election enabling
laws (none were ultimately passed). Mutharika, who won
40% votes, ran alongside Atupele Muluzi (UDF), the son of
ex-president Bakili Muluzi (in office 1994-2004).
Chakwera and his running mate, Chilima, were backed by
the four-party Tonse Alliance. A marginal third candidate
also ran. Polling day, on June 23, was preceded by isolated
political violence and mass opposition campaign events that
flouted a Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ban on
large gatherings.


Malawi, an ex-British colony, is a landlocked, poor, donor-
reliant country with an agriculture-based, undiversified
economy. It is import-dependent for many products (e.g.,
fuel and manufactured goods). Its poor infrastructure
contributes to high transaction and production costs and
hinders economic growth and trade. Poverty is widespread.
Gross domestic product (GDP) in 2019 per capita stood at
$371, the fourth lowest globally. Cycles of drought and
floods often undermine food security, and in 2019 a cyclone
hit southern Malawi and caused population displacement.
The country also faces health challenges, including a 9.2%
HIV/AIDS adult prevalence rate.
Malawi underwent a democratic transition in the early
1990s after nearly three decades of one-party rule under
founding President Hastings Banda and his MCP. It has


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