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              Researh Sevice





Payroll Tax Cuts as an Economic Stimulus

Response to Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19)



March 5, 2020
The current coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has increased concerns that the U.S. economy
could be affected as part of a global economic downturn. A range of fiscal and monetary policy tools have
been used to address prior times of economic weakness. One option for fiscal stimulus is a temporary
payroll tax cut for employees. This option was used to address economic weakness in 2011 and 2012. On
March 2, 2020, President Trump and others expressed interest in a one-year payroll tax cut to help bolster
the economy.

What Are Payroll Taxes?
Payroll taxes are collected to finance certain entitlement programs, including Social Security, parts of
Medicare, and Unemployment Compensation (UC). Social Security's old age, survivors, and disability
insurance (OASDI) payroll tax is paid by eligible workers and their employers, and it finances the Social
Security trust funds. The tax equals 6.2% of wages on the taxable earnings base (S137,700 in 2020). This
tax is paid by both employers and employees (with self-employed individuals paying both the employer
and the employee share, or 12.4%).

Stimulus Effects of a Temporary Reduction in Payroll Taxes
Short-term fiscal stimulus measures aim to boost economic activity primarily through increases in the
demand for goods and services. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO), in testimony before Congress,
previously identified three key criteria commonly used to assess the stimulating effects of policy
proposals: (1) timing, (2) cost-effectiveness, and (3) consistency with long-term fiscal objectives. The
following sections evaluate a payroll tax rate reduction using these criteria.

Timing
To be effective, short-term stimulus should affect the economy while it is in a period of economic
weakness. Although there is general agreement that the coronavirus will have dampening effects on the
U.S. economy, there is substantial uncertainty regarding the magnitude of these effects. The Federal
Reserve Federal Open Market Committee decision to lower the federal funds rate by half a percentage

                                                              Congressional Research Service
                                                                https://crsreports.congress.gov
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