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1 1 (January 10, 2020)

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Defense Primer: Strategic Nuclear Forces


T    e N u    ak-r ia ~zd
Since the early 1960s the United States has maintained a
triad of strategic nuclear delivery vehicles. These include
long-range land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles
(ICBMs), long-range submarine-launched ballistic missiles
(SLBMs), and long-range heavy bombers equipped to carry
nuclear-armed cruise missiles and nuclear-armed gravity
bombs. The number of nuclear warheads carried on these
delivery vehicles peaked in the late 1980s, at around 14,000
warheads. It has been declining ever since, both as the
United States complies with limits in U.S.-Russian arms
control agreements and as it has changed requirements after
the Cold War. At the present time, the United States is
reducing its forces to comply with the New START Treaty,
which entered into force in early 2011. Table 1 displays the
U.S. force structure that is consistent with the treaty limits.
Maintenance schedule and operational plans are likely to
reduce the actual number of available warheads.

Table I. U.S. Strategic Nuclear Forces Under New
START
                  Total        Deployed      Warheads
  System       Launchers       Launchers       (est.)a
Minuteman          454            400           400
III ICBM
Trident (D-        280            240           1,090
5) SLBM
B-52
Bobr               46             42             42
bombers
B-2 bombers        20              18            18
Total              800            700           1,550
Source: U.S. Department of Defense, Report on Plan to Implement
the Nuclear Force Reductions, Limitations, and Verification,
Washington, DC, April 8,2014.

a.  The treaty attributes only one warhead to each deployed
    bomber, although they could carry up to 20 bombs or cruise
    missiles.

R, tiomae f,,'§ t,. Tr,,iad
Early in the Cold War, the United States developed these
three types of nuclear delivery vehicles, in large part
because each of the military services wanted to play a role
in the U.S. nuclear arsenal. However, during the 1960s and
1970s, analysts developed a more reasoned rationale for the
nuclear triad. They argued that these different basing
modes had complementary strengths and weaknesses that
would enhance deterrence and discourage a Soviet first
strike. For example, ICBMs were believed to have the
accuracy and prompt responsiveness needed to attack
hardened targets such as Soviet command posts and ICBM
silos, SLBMs had the survivability needed to complicate
Soviet efforts to launch a disarming first strike and to
retaliate if such an attack were attempted, and heavy


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Updated January 10, 2020


bombers could be dispersed quickly and launched to
enhance their survivability, and they could be recalled to
their bases if a crisis did not escalate into conflict.

The United States has reaffirmed the value of the nuclear
triad. The Obama Administration noted, in the 2010
Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), that the unique
characteristics of each leg of the triad were important to the
goal of maintaining strategic stability at reduced numbers of
warheads. It pointed out that strategic nuclear submarines
(SSBNs) are the most survivable leg of the triad, that
single-warhead ICBMs contribute to stability and are not
vulnerable to air defenses, and that bombers can be
deployed as a signal in crisis, to strengthen deterrence and
provide assurances to allies and partners. It also noted that
retaining sufficient force structure in each leg to allow the
ability to hedge effectively by shifting weight from one
Triad leg to another if necessary due to unexpected
technological problems or operational vulnerabilities.

The Trump Administration, in the 2018 Nuclear Posture
Review, also reaffirmed the U.S. commitment to the
nuclear triad and to the modernization programs for each of
the components of that force structure. It noted that the
triad's synergy and overlapping attributes help ensure the
enduring survivability of our deterrence capabilities against
attack and our capacity to hold a range of adversary targets
at risk throughout a crisis or conflict. Eliminating any leg of
the triad would greatly ease adversary attack planning and
allow an adversary to concentrate resources and attention
on defeating the remaining two legs.

Ourreznt Fo~rces and             ~              Man's~
The United States is currently recapitalizing each leg of its
nuclear triad and refurbishing many of the warheads carried
by those systems.


Until recently, the United States deployed 450 Minuteman
III ICBMs at three Air Force bases: F.E. Warren AFB in
Wyoming, Malmstrom AFB in Montana, and Minot AFB in
North Dakota. Under the New START Treaty, the number
has declined to 400 deployed missiles, although the Air
Force has retained all 450 silo launchers. While each
Minuteman III missile originally carried three warheads,
each now carries a single warhead, both to reduce U.S.
forces to New START levels and to adopt what is
considered a more stabilizing posture.

Over the past 15 years, the Air Force pursued several
programs designed to improve the accuracy and reliability
of the Minuteman fleet and to, according to the Air Force,
support the operational capability of the Minuteman ICBM
through 2030. In addition, the Air Force is pursuing the
Ground-based Strategic Deterrent (GBSD) which will retain


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