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         ICongressional Research Service
hforIn o the legislive debate since 1914


Updated October 28, 2019


South Sudan
Peace has been elusive in South Sudan, which became the
world's newest country in 2011. Nearly 400,000 people are
estimated to have died as a result of a civil war that began
in 2013. The war has displaced over four million people,
including over two million refugees who have fled to
neighboring countries. It is Africa's largest refugee crisis.
Background and Context
South Sudan's independence from Sudan, supported by the
United States, came after a vote for secession in 2011,
following almost 40 years of rebellion against the Sudanese
government. That war, which displaced over four million
people and led to as many as two million deaths, inhibited
the development of basic infrastructure, human capital, and
formal civilian institutions in the south. Humanitarian needs
persisted after independence, despite abundant natural
resources, including oil fields that once generated 75% of
Sudan's oil production. Corruption and malfeasance slowed
post-war recovery and development. With secession, South
Sudan gained its sovereignty, but by many accounts its
population lacked a common identity-despite a shared
history of trauma and marginalization-and its leaders,
former rebels, had little experience in governing.
South Sudan's current conflict reflects tensions among its
leaders and ethnic groups that date back to Sudan's civil
war. While that war was described broadly as a north-south
struggle, it also featured infighting among southern rebel
commanders in the 1990s that nearly derailed the southern
bid for self-determination. Leaders in the insurgency, the
Sudan People's Liberation Movement/Army (SPLMI
SPLA), competed for power and mobilized supporters
along ethnic lines. All sides committed atrocities. The
government in Khartoum fueled SPLM divisions by
financing breakaway factions. The factions reconciled in
the early 2000s, before Khartoum and the SPLM signed the
Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) in 2005.
After the CPA, the SPLM became the south's ruling party.
Ethnic tensions and interpersonal rivalries grew under the
strain of new governing responsibilities, amid severe
human, institutional, and infrastructure capacity constraints.
The country was awash in small arms, and local ethnic
violence was increasingly politicized. Maneuvering ahead
of planned 2015 elections added to these dynamics. Work
on a new constitution stalled, and a political struggle among
senior officials unfolded. A July 2013 cabinet reshuffle, in
which President Kiir dismissed his vice president, Riek
Machar, and other key officials, formalized a major fissure
in the ruling party. Tensions rose as Machar and others
publicly accused Kiir of becoming increasingly dictatorial.
Those tensions erupted in December 2013. What began as a
conflict among the presidential guard ultimately split the
military, largely along ethnic lines. Ethnic militia mobilized
behind their respective political leaders, and the country
slipped into war. Uganda provided initial military support
to the government and has facilitated arms imports.

                                           h'ttps:!crsrepo


Source: CRS map. Facts from CIA and IMF reference databases.
The Return to War
The political dispute that triggered the crisis in 2013 was
not based on ethnic identity, but it overlapped with existing
ethnic and political grievances, spurring targeted ethnic
killings and clashes in the capital, Juba, and then beyond.
At the outbreak of the conflict, President Salva Kiir accused
Machar of attempting a coup. Hundreds died in attacks
reportedly targeting Machar's Nuer ethnic group in Juba.
Revenge attacks against Kiir's group, the Dinka, followed.
Machar and several senior Nuer military commanders
subsequently declared a rebellion. The ensuing war pitted
government forces and militia loyal to Kiir against those
aligned with Machar, spurring a mass humanitarian crisis.
The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD;
an East African regional body) sought to mediate a peace
deal, but the parties repeatedly violated their commitments
to cease hostilities. In August 2015, under threat of a
proposed arms embargo and other sanctions, they finally
signed a peace agreement. Kiir did so with reservations,
calling the deal an attack on South Sudan's sovereignty.
The parties delayed implementation of the deal until April
2016, when they formed a new Transitional Government of
National Unity (TGNU), six months behind schedule.
Machar returned to Juba to become First Vice President and
a new cabinet was appointed. Sporadic clashes continued,
though, and violence spread to areas that had previously
been comparatively stable. The deal collapsed in July 2016,
when a series of incidents between the parties' forces in
Juba sparked days of intense fighting. Machar and others in
the opposition fled the country, pursued by Kiir's forces to
the border of the Democratic Republic of Congo. Machar
was subsequently airlifted to Sudan for medical treatment,
and later traveled to South Africa, where by some accounts
he was placed under de-facto house arrest.
The war resumed. Both sides claimed commitment to the
2015 deal, while accusing each other of abrogating it. Kiir
sought to maintain the appearance of a unity government,
replacing Machar with Machar's ally-turned-rival, Taban
Deng, and dismissing opposition cabinet ministers and
legislators loyal to Machar. Machar continued to lead the
main armed opposition faction from exile. The insurgency
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