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   A          Congressional                                                      _____
           ~Research Service
   ~informing the Iegislative debate since 1914





North Korea: What 18 Months of Diplomacy

Has and Has Not Achieved



August 5, 2019


Overview

Since President Trump agreed in March 2018 to hold a summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un to
discuss North Korea's nuclear and missile programs, the Trump Administration's strategy has appeared to
be based on the presumption that developing a leader-to-leader relationship will produce more results than
the working-group approaches taken by previous administrations. Trump and Kim have held three
meetings: in Singapore (June 2018); Hanoi (February 2019); and Panmunjom (June 2019). Since March
2018, Kim also has met on five occasions with Chinese President Xi Jinping, three with South Korean
President Moon Jae-in, and one with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Overall, these diplomatic efforts have produced a marked reduction in tensions on the Korean Peninsula,
and Trump and Kim appear to have developed a personal relationship that Trump says ultimately could
produce a breakthrough. Kim has pledged to denuclearize, and has maintained a unilateral moratorium on
nuclear tests and long-range and medium-range missile tests.
Kim's public denuclearization promises, however, have been conditional and vague. North Korea has
done little to dismantle its nuclear program and appears to be advancing its military capabilities. In
addition to continuing to produce fissile material, since May 2019 North Korea has conducted multiple
short-range ballistic missile (SRBM) tests, which violate United Nations prohibitions, apparently
attempting to advance its solid fuel and guidance systems and develop capabilities to thwart short-range
missile defense systems.
U.S. and DPRK positions do not appear to have moved closer to each other since the February 2019
Hanoi summit ended without an agreement due to differences over the scope and sequencing of
concessions, specifically DPRK denuclearization measures in exchange for sanctions relief The two
countries have yet to agree upon a definition of denuclearization; whether and when North Korea will
identify and declare all its nuclear weapons-related stocks and related facilities; if an agreement will
include North Korean missiles, chemical weapons, biological weapons, and/or conventional forces; and
the mechanisms for verifying any agreement, including inspection and monitoring arrangements. China,
Russia, and to a lesser extent South Korea have called for a relaxation of sanctions on North Korea.

                                                                Congressional Research Service
                                                                https://crsreports.congress.gov
                                                                                     IN11153

CRS INSIGHT
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Committees of Congress

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