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Iraq and U.S. Policy


Updated July 11, 2019


Iraq   Looks   to  the  Future
In 2017, Iraqi officials declared victory in the country's
years-long military struggle against the Islamic State (IS,
aka ISIL/ISIS or the Arabic acronym Da 'esh), but
unresolved issues involving governance, territorial control,
resources, and security cloud the path ahead. The May 2018
national election for Iraq's unicameral legislature, the
Council of Representatives (COR), was carried out without
major security disruptions, but the election's disputed
outcome  delayed government formation. In October, the
newly seated COR  elected former Kurdistan Regional
Government  (KRG)  Prime Minister Barham  Salih as Iraq's
President. Salih, in turn, nominated former Oil Minister
Adel Abd  al Mahdi, a Shia Arab, as Prime Minister-
designate. Lawmakers confirmed Prime  Minister Abd al
Mahdi  and some of his cabinet nominees in October 2018.
As of July 2019, all but one cabinet seat has been filled,
after the COR in June filled long-vacant seats for Iraq's
defense, interior, and justice ministries.
Tensions between the national government and the KRG
persist in the wake of the KRG's September 2017 advisory
referendum on independence  and the subsequent return of
Iraqi security forces to disputed territories. The paramilitary
Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) created to fight the
Islamic State have yet to be fully integrated into national
security institutions. Groups and individuals associated with
the PMF, some  of whom  have close ties to Iran, won seats
in the 2018 election. The 116th Congress is considering
proposals for consolidating security gains made in Iraq
since 2014, and conducting oversight into the Trump
Administration's policies toward Iraq and its neighbors.
After   the   Islamic   State
Iraq's government declared military victory against the
Islamic State in December 2017, but counterinsurgency and
counterterrorism operations against the remnants of the
group are ongoing. Security conditions have improved since
2017, but IS fighters pose a continuing threat and have the
potential to regroup and escalate insurgent activities. The
Islamic State has not mounted a major comeback to date,
and Iraqi forces, national ministries, and local authorities
are cooperating to protect and stabilize liberated areas and
prevent IS reinfiltration.
As the Islamic State lost ground from 2015 to 2017, its
fighters left destruction, displacement, and division in their
wake. Explosive ordnance and infrastructure damage
complicate civilian returns, with volatile interpersonal
divisions remaining between those who fled or fought
against the Islamic State and those accused of collaboration.
Economic  and humanitarian conditions remain difficult in
many  areas, and more than 1.6 million individuals remain
internally displaced. Iraqi officials have identified more
than $88 billion in short- and medium-term recovery needs.


Political   and   Economic Agenda
The fight against the Islamic State unfolded along several
ethnic, religious, political, and regional fault lines whose
contours hint at Iraq's internal challenges. That fight
mobilized Shia Arab paramilitaries (among others) and
unfolded in areas inhabited, and in some cases disputed by,
Sunni Arabs, Kurds, and other minorities. Sectarianism has
diminished from its post-2003 highs, but some tensions
remain. Iraqi leaders have attributed Iraq's battlefield
successes in part to cooperation among various forces,
including military and counterterrorism services, local and
federal police forces, PMF volunteers, and Kurdish
peshmerga.  It remains to be seen whether such cooperation
will last amid political, security, and territorial rivalries.
Activists and citizens, including in Kurdish areas, stage
periodic protests and demand better service delivery and an
end to corruption. In southern Iraq, related demonstrations
since August 2018 have resulted in deaths, injuries, and
property destruction.
Figure  I. Iraq


Source: CRS, using ESRI and U.S. State Department data.
National  and  KRG  Elections  in 20 8, Provincial
Elections  Delayed
Iraq held national legislative elections for the 328-seat COR
on May  12, 2018. Turnout was lower in the 2018 COR
election than in past national elections, but the United
Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI) has stated
that it was largely peaceful and orderly. Elections for the
Kurdistan Regional Government  (KRG)  were held in
September  2018, and provincial elections have been
postponed, with proposed dates of November 2019 and
February 2020 under consideration.


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