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   Order Code RS20302
Updated August 10, 2000


Paying Down the Federal Debt:
     A Discussion of Methods

               James M. Bickley
            Specialist in Public Finance
         Government and Finance Division


Summary


     The federal government has been running budget surpluses; that is, the flow of revenue into
the Treasury has exceeded the outflow of expenditures. Consequently, the U.S. Treasury has
been reducing the amount of outstanding publicly held debt.1 This report examines methods of
paying down the publicly held debt.

     The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reports that the budget surplus was $124 billion
in fiscal year 1999. CBO's baseline estimates of the budget, under the assumption that
discretionary spending grows at the rate of inflation after fiscal year 2000, shows rising budget
surpluses through fiscal year 2005; consequently, the publicly held debt will decline at an
increasing rate in nominal dollars.2 In July 2000, CBO's baseline projections, under the


1The sum of publicly held federal debt and federal debt held in government accounts equals total
federal debt. For an explanation of the relationship between budget surpluses (and deficits) and
different concepts of federal debt, see: U.S. Library of Congress, Congressional Research
Service, Surpluses and Federal Debt, by Philip D. Winters, CRS Report RS20065 (Washington:
March 1, 1999), 6 p.
2These forecasts are based on positive assumptions about control of discretionary spending and
are examined in the following source: U.S. Library of Congress, Congressional Research Service,
                                                                    (continued...)


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CRS Report for Congress

            Received through the CRS Web

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