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544 Annals Am. Acad. Pol. & Soc. Sci. 8 (1996)

handle is hein.cow/anamacp0544 and id is 1 raw text is: PREFACE

Throughout my nearly four decades now as an industrial sociologist, I have
been preoccupied with an ironic and far-reaching question: what if paid
employment was to steadily disappear? What would become of the men and
women for whom such employment, especially good jobs, was a central
organizing element in their lives? Above all, what could we dare to do now to
alleviate the worse possible consequences of such a development?
This is hardly an armchair or ivory-tower line of speculation. Over the past
twenty years I have been privileged to teach courses twice a year, for a week
each time, at the AFL-CIO George Meany Center for Labor Studies in Silver
Spring, Maryland. My adult students, all labor activists, regularly share
aloud in class their ongoing and generally harrowing experiences with corpo-
rate downsizing, the upgrading of worker productivity, the arrival of ever
better automation, and other dazzling sources of the relentless loss of jobs.
The oldest among them report that the range and pace of job loss is greater
than anything they have ever known, and the youngest sigh with recognition
of the troubles they anticipate ahead.
Similarly, in my years of consulting coast to coast with school districts
eager to improve their school-to-work connection, I am increasingly meeting
educators who no longer trust that they can guide youngsters into tomorrow's
world of work, so hazy and uncertain is the picture. Parents are even more
troubled as confidence ebbs in the likelihood that there will always be enough
good jobs, or even enough poor jobs, for their offspring. Pollsters tell of the
sagging faith youngsters have in their ability to improve on the standard of
living earned by their folks.
Traveling overseas, I found in my interviews recently with Swedish labor
leaders much anxiety stirred by an unprecedented level of joblessness in a
country with one of the highest levels of unionization in the free world.
Western Europe, including Germany, is likewise troubled, and the former
Soviet Union and China both confront a growing unemployment problem, one
compounded by the hunger to catch up with advanced postindustrial nations
even while somehow ensuring enough employees a regular payroll and hope
for even better times.
As far-fetched as the possibility of rapid job loss may sound to currently
well-off Americans, anxiety about this is actually well taken, given the rapid
pace with which agricultural work in advanced nations shrank in the first
half of the twentieth century and the steady erosion of manufacturing jobs in
these same countries in the second half.
Now, to compound the matter, we verge on an entirely new workplace
existence, one we can extrapolate cautiously from steadily emerging partner-
ships of human workers with awesomely smart equipment. The latter, once

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