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1 1 (August 2, 2019)

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  1   Congressional Budget Office
'   'Cost Estimate


August 2, 2019


By Fiscal Year, Millions of Dollars 2019             2019-2024             2019-2029


Direct Spending (Outlays)

Revenues
Increase or Decrease (-)
in the Deficit


0


0

0


*


*


0
*


0
*


Under current regulations, the Department of Energy (DOE) issues expedited approvals for
applications to export no more than 51.75 billion cubic feet of natural gas in a year to any
nonsanctioned country with which the United States does not have a free trade agreement
(FTA), provided that the exports do not come from facilities that require review under the
National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). S. 816 would codify existing regulations and
would waive  DOE's  NEPA  criterion for all applications to export small volumes of natural
gas to non-FTA countries.

CBO  expects that implementing S. 816 would further expedite the approval of applications
relative to current law. According to DOE, small-volume exports represent less than one
percent of the total amount of approved natural gas exports to non-FTA countries to date. On
that basis, and considering the number of such applications submitted in recent years, CBO
estimates that any increase in the number of applications and the volume of gas exported
would be small.

Payments  from mineral leasing on federal lands are recorded in the budget as offsetting
receipts, or reductions in direct spending. Changes in the price of gas or in the production of
gas on federal lands, or a combination of the two, could affect those payments. CBO expects
that any additional demand for gas exports under the bill would be met by a commensurate
increase in supply, resulting in no significant change in the price of gas.


                See also CBO's Cost Estimates Explained, www.cbo.gov/publication/54437;
  How CBO Prepares Cost Estimates, www.cbo.gov/publication/53519; and Glossary, www.cbo.gov/publication/42904.

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